Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 34.88 | $0.430 | $17.62 | +$2.62 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 23.44 | $0.128 | $3 | 4d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 55.45 |
| $0.108 |
| $12.48 |
| +$6.48 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 11.49 | $0.870 | $9.83 | -$0.17 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 59.67 | $0.084 | $7.91 | +$2.91 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 38.62 | $0.129 | $6.83 | +$1.83 |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | Yes | 7.7 | $0.649 | $6.66 | +$1.66 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5.86 | +$0.86 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 8.57 | $0.350 | $4.5 | +$1.5 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2.61 | +$0.61 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 23.44 | $0.128 | $2.1 | -$0.9 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | No | 2.35 | $0.850 | $1.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 9.3 | $0.215 | $1.57 | -$0.43 |
 Clavicular sentenced to prison? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 11.76 | $0.170 | $0.88 | -$1.12 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher? | Yes | 16.81 | $0.119 | $0.13 | -$1.87 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
| buy |
| 7.7 |
| $0.649 |
| $5 |
| 4d ago |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 16.81 | $0.119 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 38.62 | $0.129 | $5 | 4d ago |
 France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.005 | $0.31 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.71 | $0.369 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.825 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 55.45 | $0.108 | $6 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 59.67 | $0.084 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 9.3 | $0.215 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceUnited States | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 34.88 | $0.430 | $15 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt | buy | 14.48 | $0.580 | $8.4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Trump approval >40% on June 1?No | sell | 90 | $0.140 | $12.6 | May 5, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Trump approval >40% on June 1?No | buy | 88.24 | $0.170 | $15 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 98.45 | $0.051 | $5 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 264.62 | $0.117 | $31 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Liberals win majority in Canadian election?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?No | buy | 6.98 | $0.860 | $6 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Trump approval >40% on June 1?No | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 India military action against Pakistan before June?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 18.75 | $0.800 | $15 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Apr 24, 2025 |