Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.15K | $0.788 | $1.93K | +$230.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.600 | $90 | 14h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 2.58K |
| $0.677 |
| $1.61K |
| -$135.47 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | No | 1.58K | $0.801 | $1.49K | +$226.42 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 987.43 | $0.757 | $883.75 | +$136.65 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | No | 906.65 | $0.896 | $863.13 | +$50.45 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | No | 870.77 | $0.875 | $849 | +$86.63 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 4.49K | $0.107 | $830.08 | +$348.43 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 1.29K | $0.630 | $795.47 | -$20 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.87K | $0.281 | $652.8 | +$129.19 |
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | No | 567.18 | $0.934 | $553 | +$23.31 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? | No | 523.55 | $0.867 | $498.42 | +$44.29 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 561.48 | $0.291 | $496.91 | +$333.28 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 501.97 | $0.518 | $446.76 | +$186.63 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | Yes | 999.41 | $0.458 | $429.75 | -$27.53 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 592.68 | $0.831 | $423.77 | -$68.66 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 1.75K | $0.085 | $394.66 | +$245.75 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 612.99 | $0.340 | $386.18 | +$177.93 |
 Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | No | 297.98 | $0.928 | $294.7 | +$18.18 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | Yes | 786.87 | $0.337 | $271.47 | +$6.06 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 748.55 | $0.476 | $265.74 | -$90.52 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | No | 278.15 | $0.816 | $264.94 | +$38.07 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.37K | $0.063 | $259.15 | +$173.36 |
 Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? | No | 256.69 | $0.675 | $229.74 | +$56.44 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 270.08 | $0.627 | $210.66 | +$41.28 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? | Yes | 3.35K | $0.325 | $200.96 | -$885.91 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.660 |
| $19.8 |
| 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.660 | $61.38 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.899 | $26.96 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 100 | $0.865 | $86.5 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 309.54 | $0.700 | $216.68 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 50 | $0.710 | $35.5 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 110 | $0.739 | $81.3 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 472.55 | $0.900 | $425.53 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 599 | $0.746 | $446.66 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 156.63 | $0.926 | $145.11 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 19.99 | $0.620 | $12.39 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 19.99 | $0.620 | $12.39 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 19.99 | $0.620 | $12.39 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 19.99 | $0.620 | $12.39 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 19.99 | $0.620 | $12.39 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 385.31 | $0.620 | $238.89 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 537.1 | $0.182 | $97.65 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.640 | $166.4 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.640 | $32 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 45.37 | $0.710 | $32.21 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 101.75 | $0.750 | $76.31 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.740 | $148 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 253.9 | $0.755 | $191.72 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 163.53 | $0.708 | $115.71 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 597.95 | $0.123 | $73.59 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 242.99 | $0.090 | $21.82 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 33.38 | $0.664 | $22.16 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.570 | $4.56 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.560 | $22.4 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.546 | $42.56 | 6d ago |
 Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.560 | $22.4 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 150.18 | $0.808 | $121.29 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.087 | $4.35 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 167.21 | $0.690 | $115.37 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 61.79 | $0.243 | $15.03 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 143.59 | $0.483 | $69.35 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.570 | $22.8 | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.130 | $14.3 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 342.86 | $0.663 | $227.46 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 95.36 | $0.670 | $63.89 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.670 | $20.1 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 162 | $0.660 | $106.92 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 267.23 | $0.650 | $173.7 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 397.97 | $0.087 | $34.75 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 146.15 | $0.520 | $76 | 11d ago |