Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? | Yes | 15 | $0.217 | $3.75 | +$0.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | 20h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 15 |
| $0.313 |
| $3.3 |
| -$1.4 |
 Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 23.33 | $0.159 | $3.15 | -$0.55 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.550 | $3.08 | +$0.33 |
 Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 20 | $0.087 | $3.02 | +$1.29 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 5 | $0.390 | $2.63 | +$0.68 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.067 | $2.55 | +$0.55 |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 35 | $0.084 | $2.28 | -$0.67 |
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | Yes | 35 | $0.057 | $2.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.040 | $2.25 | -$1.75 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.083 | $2.25 | -$0.25 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.105 | $2.25 | +$1.2 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.250 | $2.07 | -$0.44 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1.97 | +$0.97 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 31.11 | $0.064 | $1.77 | -$0.23 |
 Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.01 | $0.401 | $1.73 | -$0.28 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 10 | $0.275 | $1.6 | -$1.15 |
 Will SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | Yes | 5 | $0.260 | $1.58 | +$0.28 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.270 | $1.55 | -$1.15 |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.040 | $1.53 | -$0.48 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 6.99 | $0.160 | $1.5 | +$0.38 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.125 | $1.5 | -$1 |
 Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | Yes | 15 | $0.080 | $1.43 | +$0.23 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.600 | $1.38 | -$1.63 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
| buy |
| 18 |
| $0.060 |
| $1.08 |
| 20h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | 20h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | 20h ago |
| Will PSV win on 2026-09-10?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 20h ago |
| Will SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | 21h ago |
| Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.147 | $1.47 | 1d ago |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | 7d ago |
 Vikings vs. BroncosVikings | sell | 2.94 | $0.300 | $0.88 | 15d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | 16d ago |
| Seahawks vs. TitansSeahawks | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 17d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | 28d ago |
 Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | sell | 5 | $0.160 | $0.8 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.047 | $1.03 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.073 | $0.37 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.190 | $0.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.016 | $1.04 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.071 | $0.36 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.162 | $0.81 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Tarik Skubal be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-07-28?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Jan Blachowicz | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresColorado Rockies | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.069 | $1.04 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Kingborough Lions United FC win on 2026-07-26?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.080 | $1.2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.11 | $0.130 | $1.18 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.030 | $0.66 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.143 | $1.43 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Armando González (Guadalajara) be the top goalscorer of the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh PiratesChicago Cubs | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?No | sell | 5 | $0.124 | $0.62 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI + Anthropic | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?No | buy | 5 | $0.214 | $1.07 | Jul 23, 2026 |