Analytics
ammarb is down $68.45 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 24 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 860.04 | $0.817 | $782.21 | +$79.82 |
 Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-07 20:11 UTC
Polymarket public position response
28 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 10:33 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 10:33 UTC
polymarket positions
25 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-07 20:11 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $980.59 and losing ones cost $667.36 across 24 settled positions. 79.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $265.44 on “Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $501.6 on “Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?” (No).
It has traded 64 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.07K across 28 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 299.96 |
| $0.923 |
| $283.76 |
| +$6.75 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 844.15 | $0.129 | $240.58 | +$132.03 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 399.98 | $0.645 | $239.99 | -$18 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 232 | $0.930 | $221.21 | +$5.45 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.910 | $191 | +$9 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 630.97 | $0.401 | $179.83 | -$73.38 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 400 | $0.150 | $152.4 | +$92.4 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 288.99 | $0.343 | $145.94 | +$46.79 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 140 | $0.870 | $133.07 | +$11.27 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 300 | $0.400 | $76.5 | -$43.5 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 199.83 | $0.140 | $70.94 | +$42.96 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 82.76 | $0.830 | $50.9 | -$17.79 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 260 | $0.142 | $50.7 | +$13.7 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | No | 48.6 | $0.850 | $47.77 | +$6.46 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 573.65 | $0.422 | $40.44 | -$201.79 |
 Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31? | No | 49.99 | $0.410 | $35.74 | +$15.25 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.120 | $23.6 | -$24.4 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | Yes | 47.74 | $0.510 | $17.9 | -$6.44 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | Yes | 693 | $0.212 | $15.25 | -$131.53 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 873.76 | $0.045 | $13.98 | -$25.83 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 2.97K | $0.010 | $13.36 | -$15.67 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 3.66K | $0.022 | $12.82 | -$66.42 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 200 | $0.150 | $11 | -$19 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI? | No | 8.9 | $0.966 | $8.64 | +$0.04 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
