Analytics
Yes is at 35%, down 6.5 points from 41.5% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2025.
Across the 317 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (33 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 71.5% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 10 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 32.5%; a month before, 28.5%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 54.5% on 18 Jun 2026.
$8.08 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $123.79K since listing. The order book holds $722.93, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.82K bought Yes and $9.24K bought No.
The largest Yes position is IronE with 2.9K shares; the largest No position is Inchoroi with 1.3K. Ten wallets hold 68.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 317 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 41.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 35.5% |
On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025. You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984 This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster. For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date. The resolution source for this market is announcements by Elon Musk and SpaceX, or their official representatives.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-fully-reusable-before-2027
| clazzy1 |
| No |
| 783.6 |
| Ym777Ym | No | 500 |
| zk1984 | Yes | 434.8 |
| luish | No | 362.84 |
| hetlock | No | 299.99 |
| TheKinginYellow | No | 247.5 |
| ccch | Yes | 240.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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