Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 15K | $0.500 | $11.35K | +$3.85K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.660 | $26.4 | 6d ago |
 |
| No |
| 5.36K |
| $0.907 |
| $4.87K |
| +$8.61 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 15K | $0.500 | $3.65K | -$3.85K |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | Yes | 798.17 | $0.392 | $291.33 | -$21.66 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | No | 186.82 | $0.469 | $178.79 | +$91.09 |
 Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 340.23 | $0.382 | $144.6 | +$14.72 |
 Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.470 | $132.7 | -$409.72 |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? | Yes | 920.41 | $0.048 | $126.1 | +$81.63 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? | Yes | 400.6 | $0.141 | $87.13 | +$30.73 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | No | 821.91 | $0.075 | $82.6 | +$20.96 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | Yes | 1.8K | $0.055 | $54.98 | -$44.87 |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 78.42 | $0.470 | $38.82 | +$1.96 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | No | 40 | $0.855 | $34.96 | +$0.76 |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? | No | 154.49 | $0.300 | $29.12 | -$17.23 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | Yes | 40 | $0.660 | $26.2 | -$0.2 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | Yes | 1.01K | $0.028 | $25.76 | -$2.12 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.760 | $18.8 | +$3.6 |
 Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? | No | 45.37 | $0.476 | $17.24 | -$4.37 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? | No | 18.66 | $0.969 | $16.91 | -$1.17 |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026? | No | 15 | $0.896 | $14.08 | +$0.64 |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.120 | $11 | -$37 |
 Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31? | Yes | 67.97 | $0.080 | $7.14 | +$1.7 |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.112 | $4.25 | -$51.75 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 26.62 | $0.140 | $3.35 | -$0.37 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 8.32 | $0.828 | $3.12 | -$3.76 |
| buy |
| 920.41 |
| $0.048 |
| $44.46 |
| 14d ago |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.896 | $13.44 | 14d ago |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Yes | buy | 45.51 | $0.516 | $23.48 | 15d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Yes | buy | 40.9 | $0.397 | $16.24 | 15d ago |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 416.2 | $0.470 | $195.61 | 19d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?No | buy | 2.92K | $0.075 | $219.14 | 19d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?No | buy | 1.65K | $0.469 | $772.44 | 19d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.45K | $0.987 | $1.43K | 20d ago |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?No | buy | 60.39 | $0.380 | $22.95 | 20d ago |
 Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 11-12?Yes | buy | 244 | $0.990 | $241.56 | 27d ago |
| Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 11-12?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.990 | $31.68 | 27d ago |
| Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 13 or later?No | buy | 35.33 | $0.953 | $33.67 | 27d ago |
| Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 11-12?Yes | buy | 336.92 | $0.918 | $309.31 | 27d ago |
| Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 13 or later?No | buy | 24.85 | $0.690 | $17.15 | 27d ago |
| Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 11-12?Yes | buy | 101.83 | $0.790 | $80.45 | 27d ago |
| Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 11-12?Yes | buy | 435.08 | $0.471 | $204.86 | 28d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.999 | $1.12K | 28d ago |
| Will Kai or Speed have more in-game deaths?Speed | buy | 5.29K | $0.999 | $5.29K | 28d ago |
 Will Kai or Speed die to a Wither?No | buy | 561.51 | $0.997 | $559.84 | 28d ago |
 Will Kai or Speed die to an iron golem?No | buy | 269 | $0.998 | $268.36 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.798 | $2.39K | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.798 | $4.79K | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 11.19K | $0.879 | $9.84K | 28d ago |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?Yes | buy | 400.6 | $0.141 | $56.4 | 28d ago |
 Will Kai or Speed die to a skeleton?Yes | buy | 103.84 | $0.840 | $87.23 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by a projectile?No | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | 28d ago |
| Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 11-12?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.140 | $5.6 | 29d ago |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | buy | 194 | $0.580 | $112.52 | 29d ago |
| Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 9-10?No | buy | 134.56 | $0.995 | $133.89 | 29d ago |
| Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 9-10?No | buy | 44.45 | $0.989 | $43.94 | 29d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.130 | $260 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Kai or Speed die to a zombified piglin?Yes | buy | 442.14 | $0.998 | $441.47 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 3.46K | $0.990 | $3.42K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?Yes | buy | 121 | $0.034 | $4.13 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 9-10?No | buy | 362 | $0.911 | $329.7 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin on August 8 or earlier?No | buy | 53 | $0.982 | $52.04 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 20?No | buy | 140 | $0.420 | $58.8 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 19?Yes | buy | 133.06 | $0.430 | $57.22 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 20?No | buy | 300 | $0.410 | $123 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 18?Yes | buy | 245.09 | $0.331 | $81.08 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by lava?Yes | buy | 546.75 | $0.990 | $541.38 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by lava?Yes | buy | 55.31 | $0.937 | $51.84 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 9-10?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by magic?Yes | buy | 28.6 | $0.493 | $14.1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 3K | $0.840 | $2.52K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?No | buy | 1.99K | $0.913 | $1.81K | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?Yes | buy | 302 | $0.840 | $253.68 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 263 | $0.857 | $225.48 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian: O/U 5.5Under | buy | 298 | $0.954 | $284.29 | Aug 8, 2026 |