Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.6K | $0.499 | $1.21K | -$89 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.22K |
| $0.916 |
| $1.12K |
| +$10.79 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 920.11 | $0.789 | $805.1 | +$79.41 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 901.83 | $0.811 | $771.06 | +$39.29 |
 Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | No | 912.96 | $0.760 | $757.76 | +$63.85 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 780.17 | $0.821 | $729.45 | +$89.16 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | No | 774.23 | $0.832 | $646.49 | +$2.49 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 926.5 | $0.520 | $486.41 | +$4.63 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 540.01 | $0.750 | $456.31 | +$51.3 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 428.44 | $0.866 | $425.44 | +$54.4 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.9K | $0.312 | $362.5 | -$541.48 |
 Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 391.5 | $0.703 | $346.48 | +$71.12 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 450.48 | $0.786 | $342.14 | -$11.79 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 370 | $0.814 | $331.15 | +$29.97 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.947 | $283.65 | -$0.45 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.950 | $283.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.920 | $279 | +$3 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 276.87 | $0.820 | $266.49 | +$39.45 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 291.22 | $0.755 | $258.46 | +$38.65 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 293.25 | $0.661 | $256.59 | +$62.7 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 284 | $0.720 | $249.92 | +$45.44 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 430 | $0.390 | $230.05 | +$62.35 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 241.98 | $0.790 | $228.67 | +$37.51 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 500.28 | $0.670 | $227.63 | -$107.56 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 310 | $0.660 | $223.2 | +$18.6 |
| sell |
| 240.31 |
| $0.944 |
| $226.77 |
| 2d ago |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 122.12 | $0.930 | $113.57 | 2d ago |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 144.65 | $0.730 | $105.59 | 2d ago |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 99.68 | $0.976 | $97.29 | 2d ago |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | 2d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 47.67 | $0.930 | $44.33 | 2d ago |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | sell | 383.76 | $0.220 | $84.43 | 2d ago |
 Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?No | sell | 47.13 | $0.860 | $40.53 | 2d ago |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 102 | $0.730 | $74.46 | 2d ago |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 104.56 | $0.722 | $75.52 | 2d ago |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 43 | $0.898 | $38.63 | 2d ago |
 Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.290 | $8.12 | 2d ago |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No | sell | 51 | $0.946 | $48.25 | 2d ago |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 36.61 | $0.993 | $36.35 | 2d ago |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.046 | $30.96 | 2d ago |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 39.69 | $0.750 | $29.77 | 2d ago |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No | sell | 11.76 | $0.959 | $11.28 | 2d ago |
 Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?No | sell | 8.93 | $0.930 | $8.3 | 2d ago |
 Will Renée Good be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No | sell | 5 | $0.937 | $4.69 | 2d ago |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 104.56 | $0.757 | $79.17 | 2d ago |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 98 | $0.741 | $72.59 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.500 | $250 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | 2d ago |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 112.77 | $0.940 | $106 | 2d ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 123.21 | $0.730 | $89.94 | 2d ago |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | sell | 65.06 | $0.850 | $55.3 | 2d ago |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 112 | $0.647 | $72.42 | 2d ago |
 US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?No | sell | 58.13 | $0.921 | $53.54 | 2d ago |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 274.29 | $0.972 | $266.47 | 2d ago |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 130.5 | $0.840 | $109.62 | 2d ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 126.66 | $0.810 | $102.59 | 2d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 89.19 | $0.850 | $75.81 | 2d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 113.72 | $0.870 | $98.94 | 2d ago |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 105.7 | $0.920 | $97.24 | 2d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Yes | sell | 165.55 | $0.946 | $156.64 | 2d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | sell | 97.07 | $0.882 | $85.59 | 2d ago |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | sell | 116 | $0.830 | $96.28 | 2d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 64.94 | $0.962 | $62.47 | 2d ago |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 82.7 | $0.870 | $71.95 | 2d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 79.24 | $0.940 | $74.49 | 2d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 60.49 | $0.940 | $56.86 | 2d ago |
 US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 72.31 | $0.920 | $66.53 | 2d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 83.02 | $0.780 | $64.76 | 2d ago |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 30.8 | $0.930 | $28.64 | 2d ago |
 Will Lindsey Graham be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No | sell | 57.5 | $0.990 | $56.93 | 2d ago |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No | sell | 53.84 | $0.930 | $50.07 | 2d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 181.68 | $0.930 | $168.96 | 2d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 106.87 | $0.930 | $99.39 | 2d ago |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 146.81 | $0.920 | $135.07 | 2d ago |