Analytics
Yes is at 13.5%, down 10 points from 23.5% when the market opened on 1 Jul 2026.
Across the 118 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25.5% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 11% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 15.5%; a month before, 13.5%. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 11.5% on 7 Jul 2026.
$192.37 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.06K since listing. The order book holds $3.21K, with a 7.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 213 trades, $599.74 bought Yes and $3.21K bought No.
The largest Yes position is janu with 980 shares; the largest No position is Lk7600 with 1.3K. Ten wallets hold 77.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 23.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 13.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-tesla-launch-robotaxis-in-california-by-december-31-20260630142749586
| TheKinginYellow |
| No |
| 573.71 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 475.68 |
| koikoi73 | No | 445.11 |
| abraham78 | Yes | 376.24 |
| Quixotic-Tail | No | 246.91 |
| TheWindKnowsmyName | No | 165.5 |
| Brovadana | No | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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