Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.53K | $0.816 | $8.06K | +$1.1K |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?No | buy | 400 | $0.900 | $360 | 19h ago |
 |
| No |
| 6.11K |
| $0.864 |
| $5.95K |
| +$671.33 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.1K | $0.821 | $2.85K | +$306.45 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.57K | $0.900 | $2.5K | +$188.67 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.47K | $0.924 | $2.23K | -$47.95 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.22K | $0.898 | $2.13K | +$136.59 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.7K | $0.835 | $1.67K | +$249.55 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.789 | $1.37K | +$189 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.863 | $1.2K | +$157.74 |
 Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.919 | $987.5 | +$67.9 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.950 | $978.5 | +$28.5 |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.860 | $971 | +$111 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.911 | $969.5 | +$57.9 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.940 | $962.5 | +$22.5 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.951 | $961.5 | +$10.5 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.880 | $944 | +$64 |
 Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026? | No | 946.71 | $0.879 | $918.31 | +$86.48 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | No | 650 | $0.863 | $624.65 | +$63.65 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 799.97 | $0.691 | $595.98 | +$43 |
| Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | 593.02 | $0.910 | $589.46 | +$49.81 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 600.17 | $0.908 | $589.07 | +$44.11 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | No | 574.12 | $0.966 | $561.49 | +$7.11 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | No | 599.99 | $0.930 | $552.89 | -$5.1 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 599.86 | $0.568 | $525.48 | +$184.7 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | Yes | 600.28 | $0.950 | $516.84 | -$53.71 |
| buy |
| 600 |
| $0.910 |
| $546 |
| 20h ago |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.940 | $470 | 7d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.910 | $455 | 7d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.941 | $188.2 | 21d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?No | buy | 24.26 | $0.925 | $22.44 | 25d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.230 | $46 | 27d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.98 | $0.010 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?No | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | 29d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | 29d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | buy | 150 | $0.870 | $130.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.060 | $0.72 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.970 | $194 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.140 | $8.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.850 | $425 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?No | buy | 10.46 | $0.947 | $9.91 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.910 | $38.22 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 470 | $0.920 | $432.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | sell | 485.63 | $0.984 | $478.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 405.63 | $0.987 | $400.36 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.940 | $470 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.225 | $27.02 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.460 | $92 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.490 | $44.1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.510 | $101.99 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 90.3 | $0.310 | $27.99 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.320 | $9.6 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.890 | $8.09 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.370 | $48.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?No | buy | 70 | $0.720 | $50.4 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by August 31?Yes | buy | 155.32 | $0.955 | $148.33 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.59 | $0.950 | $5.31 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 265.72 | $0.950 | $252.43 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the AQI at the World Cup final be 120 or higher?No | buy | 59.32 | $0.956 | $56.72 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No | buy | 500 | $0.955 | $477.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.966 | $483 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.920 | $460 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 803.59 | $0.531 | $426.6 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.930 | $465 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.890 | $890 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.986 | $986 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?No | buy | 500 | $0.981 | $490.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.967 | $12.57 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the AQI at the World Cup final be 180 or higher?No | buy | 38.98 | $0.990 | $38.59 | Jul 19, 2026 |