Analytics
Yes is at 30.5%, down 20 points from 50% when the market opened on 10 Jun 2026.
Across the 136 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 80.5% on 19 Jun 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 24 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 25%; a month before, 9.5%. Its largest one-day move was 59 points up, to 80.5% on 19 Jun 2026.
$42.86 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.48K since listing. The order book holds $1.05K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 131 trades, $500.55 bought Yes and $1.1K bought No.
The largest Yes position is outcomes with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is Besserwisser with 482. Ten wallets hold 79.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 136 points, 10 Jun 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 30.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| outcomes | Yes | 1.33K |
| Besserwisser | No | 482.09 |
| Well-Made-Public | No | 191.21 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Google LLC and SpaceX officially announce an agreement related to launching, developing, operating, or partnering on orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying agreements include launch agreements, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, infrastructure agreements, or other formal commercial arrangements directly related to orbital data centers or space-based computing infrastructure. Announcements by Google, SpaceX, Alphabet Inc., or their authorized representatives will qualify, regardless of whether the agreement has closed, been fully executed, or entered into force. Non-binding discussions, reports of negotiations, rumors, exploratory talks, or agreements unrelated to orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Google, Alphabet, or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/google-x-spacex-agree-to-put-data-centers-in-space-by-june-30
| Gausslois |
| No |
| 163.45 |
| oiram18 | No | 131.58 |
| Ordinary-Marker | No | 125 |
| hfv | No | 106.98 |
| nooonce | No | 100 |
| enrico-vasaio | No | 100 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 72.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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