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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 294.65 | $0.679 | $281.39 | +$81.39 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI | sell | 490.47 | $0.180 | $88.28 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 125 |
| $0.750 |
| $111.25 |
| +$17.5 |
| buy |
| 21.65 |
| $0.554 |
| $12 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 294.65 | $0.679 | $200 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI | buy | 490.48 | $0.204 | $100 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.390 | $100 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 567.84 | $0.680 | $386.23 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.220 | $13.2 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 566.25 | $0.649 | $367.28 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 363.63 | $0.080 | $29.09 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.110 | $40 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.333 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 630.02 | $0.523 | $329.39 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 432.53 | $0.467 | $201.92 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.250 | $40 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 94.86 | $0.211 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.300 | $40 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 104.16 | $0.774 | $80.63 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 80.63 | $0.830 | $66.92 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Yes | buy | 129.87 | $0.077 | $10 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.077 | $78.88 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | sell | 116 | $0.680 | $78.88 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes | buy | 510 | $0.040 | $20.4 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | sell | 30 | $0.680 | $20.4 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 146 | $0.690 | $100.74 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Iran Nuke in 2024?No | sell | 114.94 | $0.860 | $98.85 | Oct 6, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes | buy | 104.58 | $0.666 | $69.65 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?Yes | sell | 217.63 | $0.329 | $71.54 | Oct 6, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.599 | $7.78 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Trump?No | sell | 21.07 | $0.950 | $20.02 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?No | sell | 72.91 | $0.490 | $35.73 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?No | sell | 75.51 | $0.027 | $2.04 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes | buy | 193.93 | $0.703 | $136.3 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?No | buy | 72.92 | $0.480 | $35 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 39.74 | $0.755 | $30 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 9.6 | $0.744 | $7.14 | Sep 29, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.500 | $7.14 | Sep 29, 2024 |
| Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?No | buy | 63.41 | $0.820 | $52 | Sep 29, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 60.46 | $0.860 | $52 | Sep 29, 2024 |
 Will ÖVP win the most seats in the 2024 Austrian legislative election?No | buy | 84.22 | $0.990 | $83.38 | Sep 29, 2024 |
 Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?Yes | sell | 25.64 | $0.026 | $0.67 | Sep 28, 2024 |
 Will FPÖ win the most seats in the 2024 Austrian legislative election?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Sep 28, 2024 |
| Will FPÖ win the most seats in the 2024 Austrian legislative election?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.340 | $10.3 | Sep 28, 2024 |
 Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Sep 28, 2024 |
 Another Biden beach day in September?No | sell | 11.49 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Sep 27, 2024 |
| Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Sep 27, 2024 |
| Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?No | sell | 72.53 | $0.777 | $56.38 | Sep 27, 2024 |