Analytics
Yes is at 5.5%, down 12 points from 17% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2025.
Across the 327 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 24 Oct 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 4 Dec 2025 and the lowest 1.5% on 10 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9.7%; a month before, 3.5%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 44% on 3 Dec 2025.
$9.71K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $221.26, with a 7.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 214 trades, $262.82 bought Yes and $1.8K bought No.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 372 shares; the largest No position is ammarb with 300. Ten wallets hold 59.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 7:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 327 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 17.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 5.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 371.73 |
| ammarb | No | 299.96 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 211.59 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be publicly announced and transferable on a blockchain. The resolution source will be public announcements from OpenAI.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-openai-launch-a-token-before-2027
| Raketa09 |
| Yes |
| 106.35 |
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 103.43 |
| 13. | No | 100 |
| NotMasterFan | No | 89 |
| AJSV | Yes | 80.45 |
| Miserly-Innovation | Yes | 77.31 |
| acal | Yes | 67.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
