Latest trade
Aug 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:14 PM UTC.
Analytics
Miserly-Innovation is down $29.55 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:14 PM UTC.
$0.95 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Jun 27, 2026 UTC to Aug 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.820 | $9.52 | +$1.32 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 38.83 | $0.010 | $0.39 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-14 22:14 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-24 20:14 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 20:14 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-14 22:14 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $212.8 and losing ones cost $195.53 across the latest 50 settled positions. 36% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $107.11 on “USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?” (Yes); the largest loss, $86.6 on “LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A” (BNK FEARX).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Aug 2026. It has traded 247 markets. Its open positions are worth $104.64 across 106 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 54 |
| $0.037 |
| $5.1 |
| +$3.11 |
 Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? | Yes | 77.31 | $0.021 | $4.33 | +$2.71 |
 Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? | Yes | 176 | $0.017 | $4.31 | +$1.32 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 153 | $0.013 | $3.29 | +$1.3 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 117 | $0.017 | $3.22 | +$1.23 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 153 | $0.013 | $3.14 | +$1.15 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 181 | $0.011 | $2.81 | +$0.81 |
 Will Trump deport 800-900k people? | Yes | 196.78 | $0.014 | $2.56 | -$0.2 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 51 | $0.039 | $2.55 | +$0.56 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 76 | $0.025 | $2.55 | +$0.65 |
 Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 126.74 | $0.020 | $2.47 | -$0.02 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 166 | $0.012 | $2.41 | +$0.42 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 159.03 | $0.014 | $2.39 | +$0.16 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 125 | $0.016 | $2.19 | +$0.19 |
 Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 47.19 | $0.020 | $2.05 | +$1.11 |
 Anthropic acquired before 2027? | Yes | 108.68 | $0.019 | $2.01 | -$0.05 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.020 | $1.95 | -$0.05 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | 285 | $0.007 | $1.85 | -$0.14 |
 StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | Yes | 333 | $0.006 | $1.83 | -$0.17 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 166 | $0.012 | $1.74 | -$0.25 |
 Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 104.09 | $0.021 | $1.72 | -$0.47 |
 Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | Yes | 142 | $0.021 | $1.63 | -$1.35 |
 Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? | Yes | 47.99 | $0.018 | $1.54 | +$0.67 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 429 | $0.008 | $1.5 | -$1.93 |
| sell |
| 61.17 |
| $0.010 |
| $0.61 |
| Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
 Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.005 | $0.75 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 127.8 | $0.100 | $12.78 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 38.2 | $0.100 | $3.82 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.014 | $1.4 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.23 | $0.016 | $0.1 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
 Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.040 | $1.8 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.068 | $2.04 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 10.9 | $0.069 | $0.75 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 159.03 | $0.014 | $2.23 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?Yes | buy | 38.21 | $0.016 | $0.61 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.016 | $0.08 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.72 | $0.016 | $0.16 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
 Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 59.73 | $0.018 | $1.08 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.021 | $0.63 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 133.94 | $0.013 | $1.74 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?Yes | sell | 7.12 | $0.080 | $0.57 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLYON | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLYON | sell | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLYON | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 63.38 | $0.024 | $1.52 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?Yes | buy | 7.12 | $0.016 | $0.11 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Yes | sell | 38.07 | $0.040 | $1.52 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.17 | $0.015 | $0.18 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Yes | buy | 71.89 | $0.020 | $1.45 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Payton Talbott next?Yes | buy | 36.4 | $0.017 | $0.62 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?Yes | buy | 15.28 | $0.015 | $0.23 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Petr Yan fight Dominick Cruz next?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.012 | $3 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.011 | $0.11 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to 2 to 5 years in prison?Yes | sell | 3.55 | $0.046 | $0.16 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 187 | $0.016 | $2.99 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Yes | buy | 38.07 | $0.013 | $0.49 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Petr Yan fight Pedro Munhoz next?Yes | buy | 30.5 | $0.011 | $0.34 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 25.98 | $0.011 | $0.29 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.011 | $0.06 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.019 | $0.95 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kanye West attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 272 | $0.011 | $2.99 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 50.95 | $0.019 | $0.97 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 6.62 | $0.014 | $0.09 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.015 | $0.11 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 47.19 | $0.020 | $0.94 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
 Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 15.1 | $0.015 | $0.23 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 52.32 | $0.020 | $1.05 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 108.68 | $0.019 | $2.06 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | buy | 176 | $0.017 | $2.99 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | buy | 0.3 | $0.016 | $0 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | buy | 63.6 | $0.016 | $1.02 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 166 | $0.011 | $1.83 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.