Analytics
Yes is at 2.1%, down 47 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 26 Nov 2025.
The high was 49.5% on 26 Nov 2025 and the low 0.9% on 16 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 2.1%; a month ago, 2.8%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 24.5% on 27 Nov 2025.
It is one of 7 markets under “Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$2.03 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $17.71K since listing. The order book holds $19.58K, with a 1.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 286 trades, $194.3 bought Yes and $7.16K bought No; the largest was a $1.23K buy of No at 96.6¢.
The largest Yes position is politeste with 694 shares; the largest No position is Solar Raven A90C with 1.6K. Ten wallets hold 79.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 77 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 16, 9:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 305 points, 26 Nov 2025 – 16 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 | 49.5% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 2.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 1.63K |
| lejcles | No | 935.73 |
| politeste | Yes | 693.65 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ventuals-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Dr.PNL |
| Yes |
| 541.29 |
| 7020Tesla | Yes | 500 |
| hitunfar | Yes | 373.44 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 339.69 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 281.44 |
| hithitfar | No | 256.19 |
| tsunn | No | 230.91 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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