Latest trade
Jul 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:52 PM UTC.
Analytics
ammarb is down $68.45 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 24 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:52 PM UTC.
$19.47 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 22 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jul 7, 2026 UTC to Jul 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 860.04 | $0.817 | $782.21 | +$79.82 |
 Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-07 20:11 UTC
Polymarket public position response
28 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 12:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 12:52 UTC
polymarket positions
25 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-07 20:11 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $980.59 and losing ones cost $667.36 across 24 settled positions. 79.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $265.44 on “Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $501.6 on “Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Jul 2026. It has traded 64 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.06K across 28 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 299.96 |
| $0.923 |
| $283.16 |
| +$6.15 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 844.15 | $0.129 | $241 | +$132.45 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 399.98 | $0.645 | $237.99 | -$20 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 232 | $0.930 | $220.86 | +$5.1 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.910 | $191 | +$9 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 630.97 | $0.401 | $179.83 | -$73.38 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 400 | $0.150 | $152.2 | +$92.2 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 288.99 | $0.343 | $145.94 | +$46.79 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 140 | $0.870 | $133.07 | +$11.27 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 300 | $0.400 | $76.5 | -$43.5 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 199.83 | $0.140 | $69.94 | +$41.96 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 82.76 | $0.830 | $50.9 | -$17.79 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 260 | $0.142 | $50.7 | +$13.7 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | No | 48.6 | $0.850 | $47.85 | +$6.54 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 573.65 | $0.422 | $37.57 | -$204.66 |
 Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31? | No | 49.99 | $0.410 | $35.74 | +$15.25 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.120 | $24 | -$24 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | Yes | 47.74 | $0.510 | $17.9 | -$6.44 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | Yes | 693 | $0.212 | $15.25 | -$131.53 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 873.76 | $0.045 | $14.42 | -$25.39 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 2.97K | $0.010 | $13.36 | -$15.67 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 3.66K | $0.022 | $12.82 | -$66.42 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 200 | $0.150 | $11 | -$19 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI? | No | 8.9 | $0.966 | $8.64 | +$0.04 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.400 |
| $120 |
| Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.620 | $15.5 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 199.99 | $0.340 | $68 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 89 | $0.350 | $31.15 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 243.9 | $0.180 | $43.9 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.09 | $0.390 | $4.33 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.67 | $0.180 | $1.02 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.816 | $16.32 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 171.71 | $0.190 | $32.62 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.680 | $135.99 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 77.16 | $0.190 | $14.66 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.12 | $0.190 | $4.01 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 82.01 | $0.817 | $67 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 0.52 | $0.130 | $0.07 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.130 | $41.6 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 79.48 | $0.130 | $10.33 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 525 | $0.019 | $9.98 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 2.45K | $0.010 | $23.77 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 228.36 | $0.131 | $29.92 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 235.61 | $0.438 | $103.11 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | buy | 186.08 | $0.870 | $161.89 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.150 | $60 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | buy | 0.91 | $0.870 | $0.79 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.410 | $2.22 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | buy | 11.76 | $0.870 | $10.23 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | buy | 1.25 | $0.870 | $1.09 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 285 | $0.960 | $273.6 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 15 | $0.960 | $14.4 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.150 | $9 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.410 | $18.45 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Yes | buy | 47.74 | $0.510 | $24.35 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?No | buy | 299.96 | $0.924 | $277.01 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.160 | $0.19 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 4 | $0.160 | $0.64 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 6.48 | $0.610 | $3.95 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 99 | $0.160 | $15.84 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.610 | $46.92 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?No | buy | 49.99 | $0.410 | $20.5 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 29.76 | $0.160 | $4.76 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 66.59 | $0.610 | $40.62 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 82.76 | $0.830 | $68.69 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 107.99 | $0.160 | $17.28 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Dune 3 | buy | 25.01 | $0.127 | $3.18 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 3.14K | $0.022 | $69.27 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 232 | $0.930 | $215.76 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.