Analytics
The Dune 3 side is at 2.3%, down 19 points from 21% when the market opened on 6 Jan 2026.
Across the 268 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 22.5% on 21 Jan 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the Dune 3 side was at 2.1%; a month before, 3%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 9% on 4 Feb 2026.
$55.72K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.43K, with a 1.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $951.19 bought Dune 3 and $9.92K bought Avengers: Doomsday; the largest was a $1.3K sell of Doomsday at 94.6¢.
The largest Dune 3 position is PancraceRoyer with 866 shares; the largest Doomsday position is Parallel-Trader with 1.2K. Ten wallets hold 72.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 20 Dec 2026, 52 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:06 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Dune 3 price, Polymarket CLOB, 268 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Dune 3 price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 21.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Parallel-Trader | Doomsday | 1.23K |
| AnthonyDiaz2827 | Doomsday | 1.13K |
| PancraceRoyer | Dune 3 | 866.29 |
Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized. If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-dune-3-or-avengers-doomsday-gross-more-on-their-opening-weekend-825
| Anjun | Doomsday | 555 |
| cbg | Dune 3 | 449.97 |
| ClaudeIntern | Doomsday | 442.61 |
| AnnaWilliams3505 | Dune 3 | 387 |
| WayneWright4557 | Dune 3 | 378 |
| AntonioSoto8053 | Dune 3 | 362 |
| alternate01 | Doomsday | 333.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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