Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 2K | $0.963 | $1.98K | +$55 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | 17d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.1K |
| $0.849 |
| $951.5 |
| +$17.51 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.850 | $935 | +$85 |
 Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 1.04K | $0.813 | $707.72 | -$136.07 |
 Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? | Avengers: Doomsday | 608.98 | $0.784 | $584.62 | +$107.02 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 700 | $0.500 | $530.25 | +$180.25 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 500 | $0.962 | $495 | +$14 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 577.07 | $0.615 | $458.77 | +$104.08 |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? | No | 350.01 | $0.928 | $319.91 | -$5.05 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | Yes | 349.56 | $0.909 | $305.34 | -$12.45 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 450 | $0.784 | $262.13 | -$90.5 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.807 | $253.5 | +$11.5 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.747 | $253.5 | +$29.5 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 200.9 | $0.910 | $189.85 | +$7.03 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.820 | $181 | +$17 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 700 | $0.500 | $169.75 | -$180.25 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 200 | $0.830 | $160 | -$6 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 150 | $0.810 | $147.23 | +$25.73 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 150 | $0.873 | $141.75 | +$10.75 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 150 | $0.663 | $129.75 | +$30.25 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 131.07 | $0.870 | $114.68 | +$0.66 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 100 | $0.920 | $99.75 | +$7.75 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.930 | $98.6 | +$5.6 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.660 | $88.99 | -$43 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 100.01 | $0.832 | $87.51 | +$4.25 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.790 |
| $39.5 |
| 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.945 | $283.5 | 17d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.370 | $9.25 | 19d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 549.99 | $0.171 | $94.21 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.254 | $38.08 | 21d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.614 | $122.81 | 21d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | 21d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.015 | $0.6 | 21d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.015 | $0.6 | 21d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.015 | $0.6 | 21d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.015 | $0.6 | 21d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | sell | 62 | $0.015 | $0.96 | 21d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | sell | 155.46 | $0.010 | $1.55 | 21d ago |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Avengers: Doomsday | buy | 30 | $0.973 | $29.19 | 22d ago |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Avengers: Doomsday | buy | 100.35 | $0.929 | $93.24 | 23d ago |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Avengers: Doomsday | buy | 32.16 | $0.900 | $28.93 | 23d ago |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Avengers: Doomsday | buy | 5 | $0.712 | $3.56 | 23d ago |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Avengers: Doomsday | buy | 42 | $0.711 | $29.87 | 23d ago |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Avengers: Doomsday | buy | 35.51 | $0.708 | $25.14 | 23d ago |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Avengers: Doomsday | buy | 71.04 | $0.702 | $49.9 | 23d ago |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Avengers: Doomsday | buy | 62 | $0.703 | $43.6 | 23d ago |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Avengers: Doomsday | buy | 35.54 | $0.703 | $25 | 23d ago |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Avengers: Doomsday | buy | 219.99 | $0.663 | $145.95 | 23d ago |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 46.86 | $0.860 | $40.3 | 26d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.140 | $4.06 | 26d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | buy | 28.91 | $0.210 | $6.07 | 27d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.972 | $145.8 | 28d ago |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No | buy | 50 | $0.460 | $23 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 24 | $0.710 | $17.04 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.930 | $465 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.950 | $380 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 200.9 | $0.910 | $182.82 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Yes | buy | 55.15 | $0.930 | $51.29 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.976 | $195.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.957 | $28.71 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 2K | $0.975 | $1.95K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 595 | $0.961 | $571.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.948 | $284.4 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?No | buy | 109 | $0.950 | $103.55 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 450.32 | $0.982 | $442.21 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.998 | $1.5K | Jul 21, 2026 |