Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 18.94K | $0.889 | $16.57K | -$260.59 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 156.71 | $0.490 | $76.79 | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 13.93K |
| $0.847 |
| $11.91K |
| +$109.12 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 12K | $0.930 | $11.22K | +$60 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 7.5K | $0.889 | $6.56K | -$102.48 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 6.07K | $0.963 | $5.87K | +$19.27 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 4.36K | $0.983 | $4.29K | +$3.65 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.06K | $0.610 | $3.01K | -$80.39 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 2.7K | $0.950 | $2.57K | $0 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.47K | $0.912 | $2K | -$256.8 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2K | $0.979 | $1.96K | +$7 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 1.89K | $0.950 | $1.85K | +$51.36 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 1.88K | $0.957 | $1.78K | -$14.02 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2.09K | $0.909 | $1.65K | -$248.04 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.66K | $0.502 | $753.2 | -$77.92 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 735.25 | $0.803 | $569.82 | -$20.73 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.900 | $452.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? | Avengers: Doomsday | 442.61 | $0.963 | $425.35 | -$1 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 356.94 | $0.962 | $349.44 | +$6.07 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 365.14 | $0.857 | $315.85 | +$2.98 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 312.5 | $0.960 | $307.66 | +$7.66 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 309.29 | $0.830 | $273.72 | +$17.01 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 313.43 | $0.826 | $265.47 | +$6.53 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 298.08 | $0.840 | $251.88 | +$1.49 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 289.86 | $0.690 | $236.23 | +$36.23 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 300 | $0.650 | $193.5 | -$1.5 |
| sell |
| 294.26 |
| $0.750 |
| $220.7 |
| 15h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2.26K | $0.880 | $1.99K | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 155.52 | $0.490 | $76.2 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 80.29 | $0.380 | $30.51 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | 1d ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 85.58 | $0.900 | $77.02 | 1d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 46 | $0.912 | $41.95 | 1d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 235.25 | $0.810 | $190.55 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 26.45 | $0.650 | $17.19 | 1d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 298.08 | $0.840 | $250.39 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.650 | $195 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 188.83 | $0.320 | $60.43 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 36.91 | $0.330 | $12.18 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.957 | $47.85 | 1d ago |
 Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 68.14 | $0.840 | $57.24 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Yes | buy | 11.46 | $0.930 | $10.66 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.960 | $240 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.960 | $288 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 246.21 | $0.660 | $162.5 | 2d ago |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 327.2 | $0.984 | $321.96 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 248.3 | $0.830 | $206.09 | 2d ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 1.84 | $0.850 | $1.56 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 60.99 | $0.830 | $50.62 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.770 | $10.55 | 2d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 250 | $0.850 | $212.5 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 71.65 | $0.150 | $10.75 | 2d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.943 | $94.3 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 590.17 | $0.680 | $401.32 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 60.16 | $0.680 | $40.91 | 3d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 363.56 | $0.983 | $357.42 | 3d ago |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | sell | 21.96 | $0.956 | $20.99 | 4d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.860 | $215 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 600.1 | $0.915 | $549.18 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 270.96 | $0.680 | $184.25 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 115.14 | $0.850 | $97.87 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 141.88 | $0.750 | $106.41 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 71.63 | $0.160 | $11.46 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 255.25 | $0.690 | $176.12 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 891.79 | $0.673 | $600 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 31.4 | $0.340 | $10.68 | 5d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 532.28 | $0.920 | $489.7 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 31.4 | $0.420 | $13.19 | 5d ago |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 408.61 | $0.036 | $14.71 | 5d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 342.65 | $0.943 | $322.97 | 5d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 657.88 | $0.907 | $596.47 | 5d ago |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No | buy | 20.68 | $0.879 | $18.18 | 5d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 600 | $0.870 | $522 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 320.66 | $0.580 | $185.98 | 5d ago |