Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 233.05 | $0.877 | $217.9 | +$13.51 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.37 | $0.022 | $0.93 | 3h ago |
|
| No |
| 178.87 |
| $0.874 |
| $169.39 |
| +$13.11 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 133.73 | $0.804 | $118.35 | +$10.79 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 134.57 | $0.594 | $98.91 | +$18.95 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 176.54 | $0.369 | $94.45 | +$29.35 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 95.4 | $0.560 | $91.91 | +$38.45 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 99.61 | $0.540 | $65.24 | +$11.49 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 329.51 | $0.173 | $54.37 | -$2.53 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 59.99 | $0.533 | $54.29 | +$22.3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 214.6 | $0.554 | $31.12 | -$87.82 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 81.67 | $0.582 | $27.36 | -$20.14 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 29.78 | $0.440 | $26.36 | +$13.25 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 54.04 | $0.517 | $25.4 | -$2.55 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 13.57 | $0.890 | $13.39 | +$1.31 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 44.9 | $0.310 | $12.8 | -$1.12 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 12.54 | $0.740 | $12.04 | +$2.76 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 107.88 | $0.164 | $9.71 | -$8.02 |
 USMCA extended in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.790 | $8.85 | +$0.95 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 55.21 | $0.350 | $7.73 | -$11.59 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 319.76 | $0.038 | $7.35 | -$4.96 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 96.09 | $0.090 | $6.25 | -$2.4 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 6.65 | $0.640 | $4.89 | +$0.63 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 100.76 | $0.161 | $4.53 | -$11.7 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30? | Yes | 58.73 | $0.090 | $4.4 | -$0.88 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.780 | $4.38 | +$0.48 |
| buy |
| 34.84 |
| $0.024 |
| $0.84 |
| 9h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 6.65 | $0.640 | $4.26 | 1d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 15.04 | $0.500 | $7.52 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 59.1 | $0.950 | $56.14 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 7.8 | $0.950 | $7.41 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 39.01 | $0.940 | $36.67 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 2d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 134.37 | $0.995 | $133.7 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.67 | $0.036 | $2.83 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 7?No | buy | 9.44 | $0.996 | $9.4 | 2d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 12.2 | $0.880 | $10.74 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.88 | $0.038 | $1.47 | 2d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.870 | $0.11 | 3d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | sell | 7.4 | $0.930 | $6.88 | 3d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 24.73 | $0.949 | $23.47 | 3d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 5?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.950 | $1.41 | 4d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.470 | $0.02 | 4d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.22 | $0.470 | $0.1 | 4d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.470 | $0.03 | 4d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 8.59 | $0.470 | $4.04 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 32.46 | $0.670 | $21.75 | 4d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 2?No | buy | 43.91 | $0.955 | $41.95 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.050 | $6.25 | 7d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 1?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.997 | $29.76 | 8d ago |
 Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 11d ago |
 Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Yes | buy | 8.32 | $0.540 | $4.49 | 11d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.740 | $0.09 | 11d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 0.08 | $0.740 | $0.06 | 11d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.740 | $0.07 | 11d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.740 | $0.12 | 12d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 70.77 | $0.011 | $0.78 | 12d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.840 | $0.18 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.003 | $0.9 | 13d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | sell | 3.9 | $0.840 | $3.28 | 13d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | sell | 0.61 | $0.840 | $0.51 | 13d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 8.21 | $0.710 | $5.83 | 13d ago |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.76 | $0.280 | $2.73 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 38.47 | $0.016 | $0.62 | 13d ago |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.52 | $0.100 | $1.15 | 14d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.47 | $0.100 | $7.85 | 14d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 49.48 | $0.960 | $47.5 | 15d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 112.5 | $0.039 | $4.44 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.78 | $0.285 | $5.36 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.33 | $0.280 | $1.21 | 15d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on August 25?No | buy | 29.98 | $0.992 | $29.75 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 214.59 | $0.280 | $60.09 | 15d ago |
 Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-08-23?Yes | buy | 4.2 | $0.250 | $1.05 | 17d ago |