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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 10.53K | $0.123 | $1.16K | -$133.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.775 | $74.4 | 1d ago |
| Yes |
| 518.48 |
| $0.735 |
| $380.82 |
| -$0.33 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 501.19 | $0.543 | $311.99 | +$39.99 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 300 | $0.650 | $213 | +$18 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | Yes | 200 | $0.620 | $150 | +$26 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 377.69 | $0.484 | $141.63 | -$41.17 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.323 | $139.5 | +$42.5 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 623.68 | $0.210 | $130.97 | +$0 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | Yes | 426.54 | $0.355 | $108.77 | -$42.72 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 555.56 | $0.180 | $86.11 | -$13.89 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.425 | $80.85 | +$38.35 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 173.99 | $0.310 | $71.34 | +$17.32 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 600 | $0.080 | $60 | +$12 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes | 200 | $0.300 | $59 | -$1 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | No | 66 | $0.485 | $47.29 | +$15.25 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | No | 99.99 | $0.350 | $43.5 | +$8.5 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 100 | $0.360 | $43 | +$7 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | Yes | 400 | $0.140 | $38 | -$18 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 400 | $0.139 | $35 | -$20.6 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.150 | $35 | +$5 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 300 | $0.097 | $29.85 | +$0.75 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 335.25 | $0.220 | $29.67 | -$44.16 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.340 | $19 | -$49 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 517.96 | $0.041 | $14.24 | -$7.16 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 200 | $0.130 | $11 | -$15 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Yes| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.774 |
| $3.87 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 323.68 | $0.210 | $67.97 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.510 | $25.5 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | 6d ago |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.390 | $39 | 6d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.450 | $54 | 6d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.29 | $0.800 | $12.23 | 6d ago |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | buy | 17.12 | $0.380 | $6.51 | 7d ago |
 Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 25.31 | $0.011 | $0.28 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 51 | $0.490 | $24.99 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 15 | $0.470 | $7.05 | 7d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.460 | $46 | 7d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.260 | $8.32 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No | buy | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | 8d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.11 | $0.830 | $10.05 | 8d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | 8d ago |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.570 | $34.2 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.650 | $195 | 9d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.870 | $52.2 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.770 | $123.2 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 44.99 | $0.690 | $31.05 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.700 | $16.1 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 36.34 | $0.353 | $12.82 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.840 | $33.6 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 95 | $0.830 | $78.85 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | 9d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.440 | $52.8 | 10d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.510 | $102 | 10d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 122 | $0.570 | $69.54 | 10d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Yes | sell | 333.07 | $0.002 | $0.67 | 10d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?No | sell | 39.84 | $0.988 | $39.36 | 10d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.720 | $90 | 10d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes | sell | 117.09 | $0.003 | $0.35 | 10d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 59.99 | $0.710 | $42.59 | 10d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes | sell | 82.91 | $0.005 | $0.41 | 11d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 79.41 | $0.043 | $3.43 | 11d ago |
 Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 106.74 | $0.026 | $2.78 | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 57.69 | $0.520 | $30 | 11d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 122 | $0.078 | $9.52 | 11d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | 12d ago |