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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 243.8 | $0.897 | $224.29 | +$5.7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 7.38 | $0.640 | $4.72 | 12h ago |
|
| No |
| 117.53 |
| $0.830 |
| $100.49 |
| +$2.94 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 47.83 | $0.924 | $46.04 | +$1.84 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 99.12 | $0.585 | $33.2 | -$24.76 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 156.95 | $0.159 | $28.25 | +$3.24 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 35.96 | $0.817 | $20.78 | -$8.61 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 15.51 | $0.780 | $15.39 | +$3.29 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 55.42 | $0.315 | $15.24 | -$2.21 |
 Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026? | No | 14.61 | $0.965 | $14.43 | +$0.33 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 14.76 | $0.818 | $13.88 | +$1.8 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 69.81 | $0.530 | $10.12 | -$26.88 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 358.77 | $0.045 | $10.05 | -$6.08 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 11.24 | $0.340 | $8.09 | +$4.27 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 15.31 | $0.540 | $7.66 | -$0.61 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 34.36 | $0.343 | $6.7 | -$5.09 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 7.38 | $0.640 | $5.2 | +$0.48 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 49.61 | $0.195 | $4.96 | -$4.73 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30? | Yes | 47.94 | $0.084 | $3.6 | -$0.44 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 30.88 | $0.080 | $1.39 | -$1.08 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 28.4 | $0.100 | $0.94 | -$1.9 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | Yes | 95 | $0.016 | $0.33 | -$1.19 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | Yes | 650.94 | $0.048 | $0.33 | -$30.71 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 0.15 | $0.590 | $0.14 | +$0.05 |
| buy |
| 53.43 |
| $0.900 |
| $48.09 |
| 12h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 136.47 | $0.890 | $121.46 | 14h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 53.89 | $0.910 | $49.04 | 17h ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 142.63 | $0.950 | $135.5 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 40.78 | $0.940 | $38.33 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 53.33 | $0.610 | $32.53 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 119.17 | $0.036 | $4.29 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.78 | $0.036 | $1.54 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.74 | $0.038 | $2.27 | 2d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | sell | 14.29 | $0.920 | $13.15 | 2d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 27.49 | $0.949 | $26.09 | 2d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Yes | buy | 24.67 | $0.060 | $1.48 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 37.19 | $0.650 | $24.17 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 18.61 | $0.540 | $10.05 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 50.34 | $0.580 | $29.2 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 20.2 | $0.600 | $12.12 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 15.52 | $0.600 | $9.31 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 70.3 | $0.623 | $43.76 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.500 | $2.52 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 24.63 | $0.460 | $11.33 | 4d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.190 | $1.4 | 4d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 122.4 | $0.050 | $6.12 | 6d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Yes | buy | 15.09 | $0.110 | $1.66 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.03 | $0.370 | $4.45 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.94 | $0.033 | $1.45 | 8d ago |
 Will Noor Tarun win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.985 | $7.35 | 10d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No | buy | 7.55 | $0.730 | $5.51 | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No | buy | 7.55 | $0.730 | $5.51 | 10d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.36 | $0.500 | $3.68 | 10d ago |
 Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.550 | $4.42 | 11d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Yes | buy | 8.18 | $0.110 | $0.9 | 11d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.016 | $1.52 | 13d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.4 | $0.100 | $2.84 | 13d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.27 | $0.960 | $15.62 | 14d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.999 | $6.05 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.86 | $0.330 | $4.57 | 14d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 5.66 | $0.350 | $1.98 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.340 | $3.43 | 16d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 15 | $0.840 | $12.6 | 16d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 7.6 | $0.840 | $6.38 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.040 | $1.32 | 16d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?Yes | buy | 7.77 | $0.998 | $7.75 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.82 | $0.034 | $1.49 | 17d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | sell | 11.23 | $0.610 | $6.85 | 17d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 13.62 | $0.340 | $4.63 | 17d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No | buy | 19.1 | $0.210 | $4.01 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.51 | $0.780 | $12.1 | 18d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.66 | $0.410 | $6.83 | 18d ago |