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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 12.36K | $0.500 | $10.69K | +$4.51K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 363.4 | $0.210 | $76.31 | 16h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 3.1K |
| $0.707 |
| $2.19K |
| -$5.48 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 12.94K | $0.488 | $1.75K | -$4.57K |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.500 | $946.5 | +$446.5 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 600 | $0.360 | $189 | -$27 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 764.4 | $0.181 | $168.17 | +$29.65 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.620 | $121 | -$3 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.690 | $85.5 | +$16.5 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.140 | $50 | +$36 |
 WHOOP IPO before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.850 | $18.7 | +$1.7 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.180 | $14.5 | -$3.5 |
 Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250? | No | 0.75 | $0.130 | $0.07 | -$0.02 |
| buy |
| 102.95 |
| $0.710 |
| $73.09 |
| 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.170 | $178.82 | 5d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 2.42K | $0.430 | $1.04K | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.7K | $0.282 | $760.78 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 169.6 | $0.730 | $123.81 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No | buy | 46.01 | $0.900 | $41.41 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 175 | $0.210 | $36.75 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | buy | 223.51 | $0.830 | $185.51 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No | buy | 512.74 | $0.930 | $476.85 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 770 | $0.207 | $159.2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 11.75 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 153.24 | $0.730 | $111.87 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.100 | $140 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 12.22 | $0.973 | $11.89 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.481 | $534.96 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 557.01 | $0.220 | $122.54 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 406.98 | $0.001 | $0.41 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 47.69 | $0.001 | $0.05 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.85K | $0.250 | $462.56 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.510 | $4.59 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.240 | $120 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.330 | $66 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 255 | $0.240 | $61.2 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.9 | $0.320 | $21.41 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.310 | $393.71 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.300 | $2.4 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.370 | $518 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 954.54 | $0.129 | $123.54 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.320 | $32 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.37K | $0.045 | $244.13 | May 22, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.100 | $179.69 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.220 | $220 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.77K | $0.014 | $80.77 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 158.38 | $0.224 | $35.51 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.140 | $2.94 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 341.45 | $0.159 | $54.38 | May 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.11 | $0.090 | $0.91 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.840 | $1.01K | May 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.230 | $92 | May 12, 2026 |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.310 | $0.32 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.160 | $256 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.130 | $2.73 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.850 | $1.19K | May 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 95.36 | $0.190 | $18.12 | May 11, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 187 | $0.280 | $52.36 | May 11, 2026 |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No | sell | 498.64 | $0.260 | $129.65 | May 11, 2026 |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No | buy | 19.64 | $0.140 | $2.75 | May 11, 2026 |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No | buy | 259 | $0.120 | $31.08 | May 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.200 | $350.6 | May 10, 2026 |