Analytics
TRADER420 has made $18.05K on Polymarket, #8,794 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 14.75K | $0.500 | $13.5K | +$6.12K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 20:08 UTC
Polymarket public position response
20 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 23:40 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 23:40 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-17 21:05 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $34.51K and losing ones cost $13.55K across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.07K on “Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?” (No); the largest loss, $2.24K on “Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?” (Yes).
It has traded 223 markets. Its open positions are worth $18.16K across 20 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 14.75K |
| $0.500 |
| $1.25K |
| -$6.12K |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.54K | $0.090 | $1.14K | +$637.57 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 21.34K | $0.064 | $736.4 | -$635.25 |
 Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | No | 612.79 | $0.589 | $563.77 | +$202.92 |
 Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.74K | $0.085 | $128.11 | -$20.58 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 600 | $0.360 | $126 | -$90 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 2.16K | $0.036 | $106.69 | +$29.46 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.620 | $99 | -$25 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 238.36 | $0.071 | $96.54 | +$79.57 |
 Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 597.77 | $0.080 | $86.68 | +$38.89 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.690 | $80.5 | +$11.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | No | 789.88 | $0.090 | $59.24 | -$11.65 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 80 | $0.510 | $53.6 | +$12.8 |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 733.7 | $0.097 | $51.36 | -$20.14 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 764.4 | $0.181 | $44.72 | -$93.8 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.180 | $19.5 | +$1.5 |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | Yes | 169.99 | $0.254 | $13.6 | -$29.5 |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 8.09 | $0.350 | $3.07 | +$0.24 |
 Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250? | No | 0.75 | $0.130 | $0.15 | +$0.06 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
