Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:19 AM UTC.
Analytics
TRADER420 has made $18.05K on Polymarket, #8,796 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:19 AM UTC.
$7.8 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 7 markets; 48.0% were buys. They run from Oct 3, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 14.75K | $0.500 | $13.5K | +$6.12K |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 306.49 | $0.080 | $24.52 | 7h ago |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 22:51 UTC
Polymarket public position response
20 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 02:19 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 02:19 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-17 21:05 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $34.51K and losing ones cost $13.55K across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.07K on “Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?” (No); the largest loss, $2.24K on “Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?” (Yes).
It first traded on 5 Nov 2024 and most recently on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 223 markets. Its open positions are worth $18.18K across 20 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 14.75K |
| $0.500 |
| $1.25K |
| -$6.12K |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.54K | $0.090 | $1.19K | +$693.01 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 21.34K | $0.064 | $715.06 | -$656.59 |
 Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | No | 612.79 | $0.589 | $569.9 | +$209.04 |
 Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.74K | $0.085 | $128.11 | -$20.58 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 600 | $0.360 | $120 | -$96 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 2.16K | $0.036 | $106.69 | +$29.46 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.620 | $99 | -$25 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 238.36 | $0.071 | $96.54 | +$79.57 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.690 | $81 | +$12 |
 Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 597.77 | $0.080 | $80.7 | +$32.91 |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | No | 789.88 | $0.090 | $59.24 | -$11.65 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 80 | $0.510 | $54.8 | +$14 |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 733.7 | $0.097 | $51.36 | -$20.14 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 764.4 | $0.181 | $45.1 | -$93.42 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.180 | $19 | +$1 |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | Yes | 169.99 | $0.254 | $11.9 | -$31.2 |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 8.09 | $0.350 | $3.07 | +$0.24 |
 Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250? | No | 0.75 | $0.130 | $0.15 | +$0.06 |
| sell |
| 30 |
| $0.080 |
| $2.4 |
| 23h ago |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 32.1 | $0.081 | $2.6 | 23h ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | 1d ago |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.081 | $1.62 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 30.13 | $0.080 | $2.41 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 187.38 | $0.080 | $14.99 | 1d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 167.81 | $0.350 | $58.73 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 450 | $0.350 | $157.5 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 450 | $0.350 | $157.5 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 449.99 | $0.350 | $157.5 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 450.01 | $0.350 | $157.5 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 449.99 | $0.350 | $157.5 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 449.99 | $0.350 | $157.5 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.350 | $175 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.350 | $175 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.350 | $52.5 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.080 | $1.2 | 2d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.080 | $1.2 | 2d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | 2d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | 2d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | 2d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.080 | $0.48 | 3d ago |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.84 | $0.070 | $1.95 | 3d ago |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.080 | $4.8 | 3d ago |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 255 | $0.081 | $20.66 | 3d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.82K | $0.350 | $1.34K | 3d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.350 | $2.8 | 3d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | 3d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.350 | $53.85 | 4d ago |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Yes | buy | 54.99 | $0.220 | $12.1 | 5d ago |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.086 | $3.7 | 5d ago |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.260 | $7.8 | 5d ago |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.280 | $15.4 | 6d ago |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.260 | $7.8 | 6d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | buy | 40 | $0.062 | $2.48 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | buy | 63 | $0.068 | $4.28 | 11d ago |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | buy | 800 | $0.040 | $32 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | buy | 510.82 | $0.034 | $17.37 | 17d ago |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No | buy | 75 | $0.440 | $33 | 18d ago |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | 18d ago |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 647 | $0.076 | $49.17 | 19d ago |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.076 | $2.51 | 19d ago |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.076 | $1.52 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | buy | 421.05 | $0.034 | $14.32 | 19d ago |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.66 | $0.070 | $0.82 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | buy | 1.07 | $0.032 | $0.03 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | buy | 73 | $0.032 | $2.34 | 21d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.