Latest trade
Oct 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:03 AM UTC.
Analytics
Reflecting-Cellar has made $1.79K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:03 AM UTC.
$6.52 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Aug 15, 2026 UTC to Oct 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 638.02 | $0.280 | $146.74 | -$31.9 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)Deiveson Figueiredo | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | 22d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-19 22:45 UTC
Polymarket public position response
8 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 06:03 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 06:03 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-19 22:45 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $4.88K and losing ones cost $503.09 across the latest 50 settled positions. 66% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.73K on “UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)” (Jeremiah Wells); the largest loss, $102.86 on “US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 Oct 2026. It has traded 182 markets. Its open positions are worth $169.57 across 8 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 620 |
| $0.023 |
| $8.68 |
| -$5.47 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 140.17 | $0.176 | $7.99 | -$16.64 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 404.81 | $0.009 | $1.82 | -$1.82 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 325.32 | $0.008 | $1.46 | -$1.14 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 329.28 | $0.006 | $1.15 | -$0.82 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.060 | $0.95 | -$5.05 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 308.9 | $0.006 | $0.77 | -$1.08 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.180 |
| $18 |
| 22d ago |
| Will Brunno Ferreira win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.120 | $9.12 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brunno Ferreira win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.120 | $1.68 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.090 | $90.9 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No | sell | 31.79 | $0.980 | $31.16 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.110 | $99 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Joanderson Brito win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 58.96 | $0.188 | $11.1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Giga Chikadze win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.040 | $57.27 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 65.54 | $0.180 | $11.8 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 400.1 | $0.110 | $44.01 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.078 | $15.55 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 386 | $0.610 | $235.46 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 325.32 | $0.008 | $2.6 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 329.28 | $0.006 | $1.98 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 308.9 | $0.006 | $1.85 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.180 | $7.2 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.180 | $7.2 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 60.17 | $0.170 | $10.23 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 293.3 | $0.024 | $7.04 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 326.7 | $0.022 | $7.11 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 404.81 | $0.009 | $3.64 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 204.44 | $0.520 | $106.31 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman (Heavyweight, Prelims)Terrance Chatman | buy | 1.01K | $0.110 | $111.33 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 445.16 | $0.003 | $1.19 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 108.41 | $0.040 | $4.38 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 729.11 | $0.054 | $39.23 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jalin Turner win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 42.1 | $0.190 | $8 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 10.15 | $0.150 | $1.52 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.200 | $200 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.160 | $1.71 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.160 | $0.24 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.110 | $2.75 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 15.9 | $0.110 | $1.75 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.160 | $0.3 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.160 | $0.3 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 3.81 | $0.160 | $0.61 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.190 | $9.5 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.160 | $1.44 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.