Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | No | 246.57 | $0.730 | $173.83 | -$6.16 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 9?No | buy | 46.13 | $0.980 | $45.21 | 6h ago |
 |
| No |
| 91.6 |
| $0.715 |
| $64.12 |
| -$1.38 |
 Will $LAPTOP reach $10 by September 30, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.988 | $48.95 | -$0.45 |
| Will $LAPTOP reach $5 by September 30, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.950 | $47 | -$0.5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 9? | No | 46.13 | $0.980 | $46.11 | +$0.9 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | No | 50 | $0.941 | $45.95 | -$1.1 |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.910 | $43 | -$2.5 |
| Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.930 | $42.75 | -$3.75 |
 Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections? | No | 110 | $0.380 | $33.55 | -$8.25 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 50 | $0.760 | $33.25 | -$4.75 |
 Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? | No | 50 | $0.670 | $32.75 | -$0.75 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 47.6 | $0.740 | $30.7 | -$4.52 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 10? | Yes | 100 | $0.340 | $27 | -$7 |
| Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.10 by September 30, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.840 | $25.5 | -$16.5 |
 Will the New York Yankees hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? | No | 37.51 | $0.751 | $25.32 | -$2.86 |
 Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 35.12 | $0.734 | $22.83 | -$2.96 |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | No | 35 | $0.620 | $21.88 | +$0.18 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 80 | $0.280 | $21.2 | -$1.2 |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 26.28 | $0.780 | $20.37 | -$0.13 |
 Will Jemkin leave RRQ in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.670 | $20.2 | -$6.6 |
 Will TOP ESPORTS make a roster change by December? | No | 40 | $0.620 | $20.2 | -$4.6 |
 Will LEVIATÁN make a roster change by December? | No | 40 | $0.620 | $20 | -$4.8 |
 Will Novak Djokovic attend the US Open Finals? | Yes | 39.91 | $0.440 | $19.94 | +$2.37 |
 Will LØS make a roster change by December? | No | 40 | $0.550 | $19.8 | -$2.2 |
| Will invy leave Paper Rex in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.340 | $19.8 | +$6.2 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.872 |
| $17.44 |
| 7h ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | sell | 21 | $0.450 | $9.45 | 7h ago |
 Will Drake release a new album by September 30?No | sell | 39.57 | $0.801 | $31.7 | 7h ago |
 Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 20.26 | $0.876 | $17.75 | 15h ago |
 Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 40% or more?No | sell | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | 15h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 11?No | sell | 4.61 | $0.870 | $4.01 | 15h ago |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.876 | $8.75 | 15h ago |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | 15h ago |
 Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next?No | sell | 77.25 | $0.740 | $57.17 | 15h ago |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.092 | $5.52 | 1d ago |
| Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | sell | 50.95 | $0.700 | $35.67 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 8?No | buy | 284.72 | $0.702 | $199.92 | 1d ago |
 Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50.5 | $0.100 | $5.05 | 1d ago |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | 1d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | 2d ago |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 70.13 | $0.560 | $39.27 | 2d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.966 | $48.3 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | 2d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.140 | $3.36 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?No | sell | 19.12 | $0.650 | $12.43 | 2d ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 10%-15%?No | sell | 15.1 | $0.840 | $12.68 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | 2d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 5.1 | $0.570 | $2.91 | 2d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 128.03 | $0.460 | $58.89 | 2d ago |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.863 | $86.3 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 7?No | buy | 92.32 | $0.977 | $90.16 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | 2d ago |
 Will Yash Patel come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?No | sell | 20 | $0.835 | $16.7 | 2d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | 2d ago |
 Will Sally Field – “Remarkably Bright Creatures” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?No | sell | 20 | $0.868 | $17.36 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Yash Patel come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?No | sell | 18.99 | $0.832 | $15.8 | 2d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | sell | 40.93 | $0.890 | $36.43 | 2d ago |
| Will Don't Be Dumb (A$AP Rocky) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | sell | 50 | $0.830 | $41.5 | 2d ago |
 Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 50.33 | $0.840 | $42.28 | 2d ago |
 Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 136.73 | $0.850 | $116.22 | 2d ago |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?No | sell | 73.28 | $0.781 | $57.23 | 2d ago |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 11.19 | $0.830 | $9.29 | 2d ago |
| Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 18.67 | $0.834 | $15.57 | 2d ago |
 Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.49 | $0.820 | $7.78 | 2d ago |
| Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?No | sell | 13.8 | $0.820 | $11.32 | 2d ago |
 Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.230 | $11.5 | 2d ago |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 5.83 | $0.840 | $4.9 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 9?No | sell | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | 2d ago |
 Will Anna Wintour attend Carolina Herrera?Yes | sell | 17.01 | $0.950 | $16.16 | 2d ago |
 Will Ousmane Dembélé (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?No | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Zach Currier win the 2026 PLL Midfielder of the Year?No | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Saros win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?No | sell | 20 | $0.865 | $17.3 | 2d ago |
 Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | sell | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | 2d ago |