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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.29K | $0.551 | $650.25 | -$62.26 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 846.87 | $0.035 | $30 | Jul 19, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 1.02K |
| $0.685 |
| $617.98 |
| -$82.02 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 454.55 | $0.660 | $388.87 | +$88.87 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 410.22 | $0.731 | $385.6 | +$85.6 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 363.23 | $0.936 | $334.9 | -$5.1 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 330.89 | $0.907 | $268.85 | -$31.15 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.53K | $0.066 | $246.42 | +$146.42 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 434.78 | $0.230 | $219.57 | +$119.57 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 849.92 | $0.118 | $191.23 | +$91.23 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 300 | $0.350 | $106.5 | +$1.5 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 625.93 | $0.270 | $71.98 | -$97.02 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.44K | $0.041 | $67.03 | -$72.96 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 263.44 | $0.100 | $53.08 | +$26.74 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | Yes | 215.94 | $0.150 | $34.55 | +$2.16 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 846.87 | $0.035 | $15.67 | -$14.33 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 394.59 | $0.051 | $13.02 | -$6.98 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 819.75 | $0.012 | $12.71 | +$2.71 |
| sell |
| 431.33 |
| $0.404 |
| $174.26 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.070 | $4.9 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 151.51 | $0.794 | $120.3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 434.31 | $0.977 | $424.32 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 212.76 | $0.960 | $204.25 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 103.51 | $0.964 | $99.78 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.685 | $700 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 849.92 | $0.118 | $100 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.066 | $100 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 256.41 | $0.780 | $200 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 337.14 | $0.593 | $200 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 428.57 | $0.350 | $150 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.73K | $0.383 | $661.44 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | sell | 266.66 | $0.853 | $227.55 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 266.67 | $0.750 | $200 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 399.41 | $0.501 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp | buy | 11.3 | $0.880 | $9.94 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp | buy | 23.1 | $0.420 | $9.7 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETDown | sell | 50.55 | $0.200 | $10.11 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETDown | buy | 49.83 | $0.390 | $19.43 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETDown | buy | 99.6 | $0.100 | $9.96 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp | sell | 70.7 | $0.432 | $30.55 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp | buy | 69.98 | $0.280 | $19.59 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.220 | $13.86 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No | buy | 246.91 | $0.810 | $200 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.115 | $6.23 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 398.08 | $0.502 | $200 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.680 | $100 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 263.16 | $0.760 | $200 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 618.41 | $0.809 | $500 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | sell | 325.08 | $0.173 | $56.24 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?No | buy | 58.14 | $0.086 | $5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?No | buy | 117.3 | $0.085 | $10 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.270 | $18.9 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.350 | $3.85 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.022 | $21.92 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 243.56 | $0.128 | $31.18 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.175 | $17.5 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.142 | $14.19 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?No | sell | 178.57 | $0.972 | $173.63 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 220 | $0.601 | $132.32 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | sell | 176.47 | $0.957 | $168.93 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 49.5 | $0.717 | $35.47 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 819.75 | $0.012 | $10 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.250 | $60 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 394.59 | $0.051 | $20 | Nov 7, 2025 |