Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 5K | $0.843 | $4.67K | +$459.9 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?No | buy | 145 | $0.850 | $123.25 | 18m ago |
|
| No |
| 5K |
| $0.825 |
| $4.28K |
| +$151.41 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 4K | $0.847 | $3.82K | +$432.86 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 2K | $0.961 | $1.96K | +$35.39 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.934 | $1.93K | +$64.72 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2K | $0.953 | $1.92K | +$17 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 1.95K | $0.919 | $1.89K | +$98.43 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.899 | $1.89K | +$92.03 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.914 | $1.89K | +$62.67 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.900 | $1.85K | +$49 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 2K | $0.871 | $1.77K | +$28.52 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 1.7K | $0.919 | $1.62K | +$53.61 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.5K | $0.918 | $1.47K | +$95.65 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1.5K | $0.945 | $1.44K | +$24.79 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.928 | $1.42K | +$29.3 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 1.5K | $0.884 | $1.39K | +$61.57 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.726 | $1.28K | +$187.04 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.961 | $977.5 | +$16.5 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 1K | $0.915 | $940.19 | +$24.8 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.902 | $935 | +$32.5 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 999.86 | $0.877 | $904.87 | +$27.78 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.770 | $865 | +$95 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 800 | $0.956 | $772.4 | +$7.4 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 667.54 | $0.926 | $621.81 | +$3.89 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 700.6 | $0.854 | $613.03 | +$14.52 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.850 |
| $170 |
| 29m ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.620 | $61.99 | 4h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | 11h ago |
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | 21h ago |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 41.7 | $0.690 | $28.77 | 22h ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | buy | 51.26 | $0.700 | $35.88 | 22h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.598 | $29.9 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.170 | $2.55 | 1d ago |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.890 | $35.6 | 1d ago |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 106.24 | $0.670 | $71.18 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 41.97 | $0.660 | $27.7 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 79 | $0.870 | $68.73 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | buy | 60 | $0.800 | $48 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | 1d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?No | buy | 102.49 | $0.890 | $91.22 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | 1d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | 1d ago |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 560 | $0.939 | $525.84 | 2d ago |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | 2d ago |
 Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | 2d ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.780 | $93.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 148.06 | $0.780 | $115.49 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.960 | $480 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.390 | $19.5 | 2d ago |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 84.68 | $0.710 | $60.12 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | buy | 54.49 | $0.800 | $43.59 | 2d ago |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?No | buy | 141.46 | $0.855 | $120.95 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.1 | $0.820 | $20.58 | 2d ago |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.913 | $273.9 | 2d ago |
 Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 470.05 | $0.930 | $437.15 | 2d ago |
 Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?No | buy | 60.6 | $0.915 | $55.45 | 2d ago |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 150 | $0.924 | $138.6 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | 2d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.690 | $34.5 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 70 | $0.840 | $58.8 | 2d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 65 | $0.767 | $49.85 | 2d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | 2d ago |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Yes | buy | 137.3 | $0.880 | $120.82 | 2d ago |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?No | sell | 65 | $0.320 | $20.8 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 85 | $0.882 | $74.97 | 3d ago |