What is the “Xi Jinping out before 2027?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Xi Jinping out before 2027? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 3.4¢ and No at 96.7¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 3.4% for Yes and 96.7% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($64.77K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($549.59K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 1,000 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 46.9% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 30, 3:39 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/xi-jinping-out-before-2027) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Xi Jinping out before 2027? Polymarket Odds

Market referencexi-jinping-out-before-2027Updated 1m ago

worldActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTChfcgeopolitics

Yes

3.4%

96.7%

Buy Yes 3.35¢Buy No 96.65¢

24h Volume

$64.8K

Liquidity

$549.6K

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes price

3.35¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

3.4%

96.7%

24h volume

$64.77K

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 3.35¢

Open in terminal$64.77K 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

1m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

0.1%

Observed

1m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

3.4%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

1,000

Wallets

1,000

Top 10 share

47%

Yes / No shares

3.89M / 3.75M

Public holders are loaded to the current Data API cap: 500 rows per outcome.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
rollsrolls	Yes	686K	8.1%	$819.35K
Aurelian9	Yes	646.29K	8.2%	$646.29K

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Xi Jinping out before 2027?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Xi Jinping out before 2027? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 3.4¢ and No at 96.7¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 3.4% for Yes and 96.7% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($64.77K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($549.59K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

rollsrolls

Yes

686K

8.1%

$819.35K

Aurelian9

Yes

646.29K

8.2%

$646.29K

Trader	Current holding value
onekey02	$322.79K
0xrc	$147.18K
uycghj4	$126.7K
Serene-Decision	$105.78K
TraderSDG	$96.65K
Whitelied91	$88.76K
Bruce0913	$87.98K
Witty-Cloister	$86.33K
IGORS	$76.56K
Ignorant-Tendency	$75.69K
onekey09	$74.02K
yingyingying777	$72.35K