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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 16.7K | $0.962 | $16.04K | -$21.58 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 158 | $0.958 | $151.36 | Jul 15, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 10K |
| $0.965 |
| $9.93K |
| +$280 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 10.45K | $0.940 | $9.77K | -$52.23 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 10K | $0.950 | $9.62K | +$115 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 8.06K | $0.939 | $7.67K | +$97.89 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 8K | $0.910 | $7.48K | +$200 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 7.55K | $0.940 | $6.98K | -$114.98 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 6K | $0.928 | $5.77K | +$199 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 5K | $0.930 | $4.72K | +$75 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 3K | $0.890 | $2.69K | +$15 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? | Yes | 1K | $0.866 | $954 | +$87.1 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 515.71 | $0.956 | $504.62 | +$11.43 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.952 | $481.25 | +$5.25 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 367.08 | $0.954 | $358.09 | +$7.89 |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30? | Yes | 959.45 | $0.329 | $46.05 | -$269.78 |
| buy |
| 364.26 |
| $0.954 |
| $347.5 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 257.56 | $0.957 | $246.48 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 100.15 | $0.952 | $95.34 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 1.92K | $0.964 | $1.85K | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5K | $0.930 | $4.65K | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Yes | buy | 355.52 | $0.860 | $305.75 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 189.72 | $0.060 | $11.38 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.55K | $0.060 | $154.09 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.962 | $1.06K | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.967 | $1.15K | Jul 11, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.69K | $0.940 | $1.59K | Jul 11, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5K | $0.940 | $4.7K | Jul 11, 2026 |