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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1.26K | $0.951 | $1.21K | +$13.25 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 645.16 | $0.930 | $600 | 19d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.05K |
| $0.911 |
| $977.23 |
| +$25.23 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.830 | $372.5 | -$42.5 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | No | 400 | $0.870 | $344 | -$4 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 384.62 | $0.780 | $332.69 | +$32.69 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 333.15 | $0.938 | $318.16 | +$5.7 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 357.14 | $0.840 | $312.5 | +$12.5 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 357.14 | $0.840 | $308.93 | +$8.93 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 280.9 | $0.890 | $242.98 | -$7.02 |
| buy |
| 280.9 |
| $0.890 |
| $250 |
| 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 384.62 | $0.780 | $300 | 19d ago |
 Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | sell | 600 | $0.010 | $6.07 | 29d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh’s remarks not air?No | buy | 99.99 | $0.998 | $99.79 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.100 | $130 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.044 | $48.47 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 319.15 | $0.940 | $300 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?No | sell | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 229.88 | $0.510 | $117.24 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 266.24 | $0.690 | $183.71 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 700 | $0.880 | $616 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 350.32 | $0.690 | $241.72 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND England leading at halftime? | buy | 109.89 | $0.087 | $9.56 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.840 | $300 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 357.14 | $0.840 | $300 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.26K | $0.951 | $1.2K | Jul 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No | sell | 1K | $0.090 | $90 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the match not air?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.290 | $348 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 700 | $0.870 | $609 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?No | sell | 2.6K | $0.066 | $172.34 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 229.89 | $0.870 | $200 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 389.47 | $0.950 | $370 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.16 | $0.981 | $60 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.18 | $0.988 | $15 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.27 | $0.982 | $15 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.63 | $0.930 | $35 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | buy | 89.2 | $0.673 | $60 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.080 | $8.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 1.7K | $0.810 | $1.38K | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 432 | $0.800 | $345.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 686 | $0.886 | $607.54 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 2K | $0.927 | $1.85K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.810 | $891 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 232 | $0.790 | $183.28 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 1.7K | $0.810 | $1.38K | Jun 6, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?Yes | sell | 243.36 | $0.023 | $5.6 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 700 | $0.890 | $623 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 900 | $0.982 | $883.8 | May 28, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 514.96 | $0.971 | $500 | May 20, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 20?No | sell | 200 | $0.630 | $126 | May 20, 2026 |