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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1.47K | $0.955 | $1.41K | +$9.53 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazCarlos Alcaraz | buy | 169.49 | $0.590 | $100 | 4h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.25K |
| $0.800 |
| $1.24K |
| +$240.63 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 1.4K | $0.739 | $1.24K | +$207.15 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.28K | $0.940 | $1.21K | +$6.38 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 1.14K | $0.880 | $1.11K | +$110.23 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 1.05K | $0.950 | $1.05K | +$45.79 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 935.45 | $0.976 | $911.6 | -$1.4 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | No | 770.69 | $0.908 | $768.38 | +$68.38 |
 Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 700.55 | $0.913 | $669.73 | +$29.73 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 694.57 | $0.720 | $642.47 | +$142.47 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 649.78 | $0.929 | $614.05 | +$10.05 |
 OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31? | 723.75 | $0.829 | $568.14 | -$31.86 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 557.43 | $0.883 | $537.92 | +$45.92 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.390 | $466.9 | +$66.9 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 254.65 | $0.860 | $221.55 | +$2.55 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 240.96 | $0.830 | $208.43 | +$8.43 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 223.08 | $0.650 | $199.65 | +$54.65 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 540.54 | $0.370 | $186.49 | -$13.51 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 206.9 | $0.870 | $181.03 | +$1.03 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 317.16 | $0.630 | $118.94 | -$81.06 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 178.57 | $0.560 | $81.25 | -$18.75 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 67.94 | $0.942 | $64 | $0 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 379.11 | $0.323 | $32.22 | -$90.37 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 260 | $0.250 | $27.3 | -$37.7 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 238.66 | $0.419 | $6.09 | -$93.91 |
| buy |
| 935.45 |
| $0.976 |
| $913 |
| 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 206.9 | $0.870 | $180 | 1d ago |
| US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos AlcarazCarlos Alcaraz | buy | 1.09K | $0.920 | $1K | 6d ago |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | 7d ago |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 418.85 | $0.955 | $400 | 7d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 240.96 | $0.830 | $200 | 13d ago |
| OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?Google | buy | 168.19 | $0.595 | $100 | 14d ago |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 223.08 | $0.650 | $145 | 17d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.050 | $12 | 17d ago |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 260 | $0.250 | $65 | 17d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.450 | $100 | 17d ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 639.78 | $0.930 | $595 | 17d ago |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | sell | 1.6K | $0.993 | $1.59K | 17d ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.098 | $10 | 17d ago |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No | buy | 254.65 | $0.860 | $219 | 24d ago |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | buy | 61.35 | $0.065 | $4 | 24d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 67.94 | $0.942 | $64 | 24d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 317.16 | $0.631 | $200 | 24d ago |
 Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerIron Wing | buy | 73.17 | $0.410 | $30 | 26d ago |
| OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?Google | buy | 555.56 | $0.900 | $500 | 27d ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 29d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 212.77 | $0.940 | $200 | 29d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | 29d ago |
 Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 270.27 | $0.740 | $200 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.74 | $0.899 | $60 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.46 | $0.830 | $12 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.940 | $1K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 188.24 | $0.340 | $64 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 194 | $0.500 | $97 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 62.31 | $0.963 | $60 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.955 | $1K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.390 | $400 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.978 | $1K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 311.85 | $0.962 | $300 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 540.32 | $0.500 | $270 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.260 | $100 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 1.22K | $0.900 | $1.1K | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?No | buy | 349.81 | $0.972 | $340 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | buy | 51.69 | $0.890 | $46 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | buy | 29.55 | $0.880 | $26 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 588.24 | $0.017 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | sell | 396.46 | $0.830 | $329.06 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | sell | 285.44 | $0.858 | $245 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 123.7 | $0.589 | $72.83 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Lionel Messi: 1+ shotsYes | buy | 1.08K | $0.920 | $993.95 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 CornersOver | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 |