Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 48% on 31 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 62 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026, the highest close was 99.9% on 29 Sep 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 4 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 65.5% on 28 Aug 2026. $53.14K traded over the market's life.
92 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 5:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 31 Jul 2026 – 30 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 48.0% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 25.66K |
| norealtime | No | 1K |
| Huye168 | No | 427.77 |
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-september-1785358369147
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 210 |
| delphilo | No | 175 |
| ghorrock | No | 117.89 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | No | 84.98 |
| Amber Ledger 7F57 | No | 84.15 |
| Misty Vector 3D93 | No | 65.3 |
| PPMT | No | 60.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
