Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 970 | $0.765 | $906.95 | +$164.45 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | 32m ago |
 |
| No |
| 803.71 |
| $0.874 |
| $703.24 |
| +$0.95 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 708.75 | $0.768 | $648.51 | +$103.98 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 669.99 | $0.835 | $622.76 | +$63.07 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 709.05 | $0.876 | $620.42 | -$0.68 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.01K | $0.613 | $598.91 | -$17.76 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 647.96 | $0.612 | $508.65 | +$111.93 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 538.82 | $0.823 | $503.8 | +$60.1 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 580 | $0.665 | $432.1 | +$46.5 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 505.18 | $0.694 | $430.66 | +$79.83 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 440 | $0.690 | $420.2 | +$116.4 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.718 | $367.5 | +$8.5 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 407.21 | $0.578 | $350.2 | +$114.88 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 570.73 | $0.498 | $344.72 | +$60.46 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 353.39 | $0.899 | $326.88 | +$9 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 369.11 | $0.731 | $324.82 | +$54.99 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 350 | $0.647 | $318.5 | +$92 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 300 | $0.803 | $295.2 | +$54.36 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 380.33 | $0.610 | $294.75 | +$62.75 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 300 | $0.848 | $289.05 | +$34.65 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 300 | $0.678 | $265.5 | +$62.01 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.861 | $259.5 | +$1.11 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 515.22 | $0.433 | $258.9 | +$35.71 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 283.9 | $0.831 | $254.09 | +$18.09 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | No | 260 | $0.908 | $252.72 | +$16.72 |
| buy |
| 16.65 |
| $0.597 |
| $9.94 |
| 8h ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.965 | $31.85 | 8h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | buy | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | 12h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.756 | $189 | 13h ago |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?No | buy | 0.07 | $0.858 | $0.06 | 13h ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on September 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.630 | $25.2 | 13h ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | 13h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.967 | $14.5 | 13h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?No | buy | 50 | $0.956 | $47.8 | 13h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | 13h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | buy | 40 | $0.840 | $33.6 | 13h ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | 13h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 13h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.390 | $11.7 | 13h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 307.69 | $0.130 | $40 | 13h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 257.82 | $0.388 | $100 | 13h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 317.81 | $0.378 | $120 | 13h ago |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 9?Up | buy | 144.58 | $0.830 | $120 | 13h ago |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?Down | buy | 171.2 | $0.759 | $130 | 13h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.794 | $39.7 | 1d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.819 | $40.95 | 1d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.830 | $66.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.950 | $38 | 1d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?Down | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | 1d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 30 | $0.520 | $15.6 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.270 | $16.2 | 5d ago |
 Cardinals vs. ChargersChargers | buy | 30 | $0.820 | $24.6 | 5d ago |
| 49ers vs. RamsRams | buy | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.830 | $49.8 | 5d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.890 | $62.3 | 5d ago |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.900 | $36 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.930 | $37.2 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.730 | $21.9 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.830 | $41.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.721 | $36.05 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 20.52 | $0.570 | $11.7 | 5d ago |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.900 | $27 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.667 | $133.45 | 5d ago |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.967 | $48.35 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.584 | $4.67 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.56 | $0.890 | $12.07 | 5d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?Down | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | 5d ago |