Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 63 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026, the highest close was 100% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 40% on 3 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 51.5% on 7 Aug 2026. $56.67K traded over the market's life.
89 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 5:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 30 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 19.57K |
| norealtime | No | 1K |
| labistiiia | No | 952.54 |
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-september-20260729222928263
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 840.01 |
| Shijiebeiii | No | 260 |
| realquese | No | 117.36 |
| Huye168 | No | 101.34 |
| Crimson Summit 6D33 | No | 100 |
| Grafschokola2 | No | 100 |
| himken | No | 99.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
