Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 22 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2026 to 1 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 11.5% on 24 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Sep 2026. $1.6M traded over the market's life.
102 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 10:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 22 Jul 2026 – 1 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | 8.5% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | Yes | 57.19K |
| donateck | Yes | 43.24K |
| meagainsttheworld | Yes | 23.83K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/iran-leadership-change-by
| Shimi1234 | Yes | 20.01K |
| Fesfouss | Yes | 19.81K |
| AIisme | Yes | 18.84K |
| ClearMove | Yes | 10.67K |
| mebad | Yes | 10.05K |
| aegis777 | Yes | 9.09K |
| Ivory Horizon D168 | Yes | 6.88K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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