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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.64K | $0.117 | $531.13 | -$243.38 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.160 | $160 | 17h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.95K |
| $0.157 |
| $368.75 |
| -$93.75 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 2K | $0.290 | $290 | -$290 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 1.9K | $0.638 | $276.45 | -$936.84 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.177 | $250 | -$105 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 1.29K | $0.294 | $211.57 | -$168.55 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.110 | $202.5 | +$37.5 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 742.3 | $0.173 | $189.29 | +$60.74 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 750.01 | $0.230 | $153.75 | -$18.53 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 1K | $0.130 | $105 | -$25 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.86K | $0.173 | $102.56 | -$219.67 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.112 | $102 | -$32.74 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 800 | $0.200 | $84 | -$76 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 1K | $0.130 | $65 | -$65 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 100 | $0.610 | $55 | -$6 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 500 | $0.153 | $53.75 | -$23.03 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.380 | $51 | -$25 |
| Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? | Yes | 200 | $0.335 | $47 | -$20 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 718.11 | $0.431 | $31.24 | -$278.34 |
| Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? | Yes | 403.11 | $0.102 | $28.22 | -$13.11 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 1.66K | $0.050 | $27.39 | -$55.54 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | Yes | 500 | $0.110 | $20.75 | -$34.25 |
 Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | Yes | 549.99 | $0.108 | $18.97 | -$40.52 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 73.5 | $0.420 | $17.64 | -$13.23 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | Yes | 186.97 | $0.338 | $16.55 | -$46.62 |
| buy |
| 75 |
| $0.100 |
| $7.5 |
| 3d ago |
| Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.089 | $9.39 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 196.67 | $0.460 | $90.47 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 744.82 | $0.424 | $315.7 | 4d ago |
| Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | 5d ago |
| Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | 5d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.130 | $130 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.160 | $160 | 7d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.112 | $134.74 | 8d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 121.76 | $0.060 | $7.31 | 8d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.230 | $229.7 | 8d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | sell | 800 | $0.991 | $792.8 | 9d ago |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.630 | $69.3 | 12d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.123 | $2.46 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 275 | $0.420 | $115.5 | 12d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.037 | $59.88 | 12d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 248 | $0.170 | $42.16 | 15d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 449.99 | $0.170 | $76.5 | 15d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.110 | $55 | 16d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.056 | $28 | 20d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?No | buy | 300 | $0.120 | $36 | 20d ago |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.130 | $14.3 | 22d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | 22d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 178.78 | $0.219 | $39.1 | 23d ago |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | 23d ago |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.250 | $87.5 | 24d ago |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.240 | $45.6 | 24d ago |
 Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 120 | $0.530 | $63.6 | 25d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 700 | $0.170 | $119 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | buy | 188 | $0.041 | $7.68 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "TrumpRX" during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 90 | $0.320 | $28.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Refund" during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 90 | $0.620 | $55.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Refund" during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "TrumpRX" during remarks in Las Vegas?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.690 | $79.34 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7K | $0.004 | $15.88 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | sell | 800 | $0.120 | $96 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | sell | 1K | $0.120 | $120 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.096 | $27 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.080 | $15.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.038 | $50.09 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.015 | $13.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.015 | $60 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | buy | 3K | $0.050 | $149.85 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 500 | $0.130 | $65 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 1K | $0.130 | $130 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 194.98 | $0.260 | $50.69 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.74 | $0.110 | $2.61 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 28.21 | $0.220 | $6.21 | Aug 1, 2026 |