Analytics
Yes is at 98.9%, up 73 points from 26% when the market opened on 9 Sep 2026.
Across the 47 daily closes on record from 9 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.9% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 30 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 47.5%; a month before, 11.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 46% on 10 Sep 2026.
<2.5% is the favourite of the 5 outcomes in “Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?”, ahead of 2.5-3.25% at 0.6%.
$40.74 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $10.18K since listing. The order book holds $10.85K, with a 1.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 308 trades, $3.61K bought Yes and $1.38K bought No.
The largest Yes position is jpceia with 872 shares; the largest No position is rocky42013 with 832. Ten wallets hold 63.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Nov 2026, 32 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 6:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 26.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 98.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jpceia | Yes | 872.17 |
| rocky42013 | No | 831.6 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 831.16 |
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-election-amcha-yisrael-vote-share
| youtube-trader |
| No |
| 676 |
| vyemfql | Yes | 662.9 |
| clazzy1 | Yes | 600.33 |
| Shiny-Mark | Yes | 578.09 |
| CaptainCoinflip | Yes | 398.99 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 279.09 |
| mr.oziVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 271.54 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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