Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | No | 438 | $0.570 | $258.42 | +$8.76 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.410 | $16.4 | 3h ago |
|
| No |
| 286.93 |
| $0.870 |
| $255.37 |
| +$5.74 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 254.89 | $0.979 | $252.73 | +$3.19 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | No | 217.02 | $0.912 | $202.91 | +$5.06 |
 Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | No | 592.05 | $0.105 | $201.3 | +$138.88 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 299.51 | $0.647 | $178.21 | -$15.56 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 299.5 | $0.541 | $157.24 | -$4.8 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September? | Yes | 300 | $0.530 | $156 | -$3 |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | Yes | 300 | $0.480 | $153 | +$9 |
 Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane? | Yes | 225 | $0.640 | $139.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will Baba Wali win the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election? | No | 830.05 | $0.196 | $112.06 | -$50.65 |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 205 | $0.480 | $100.45 | +$2.05 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 779.46 | $0.134 | $97.43 | -$6.67 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 283.68 | $0.300 | $83.68 | -$1.32 |
 Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | Yes | 299.39 | $0.280 | $80.84 | -$3.01 |
 Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election? | No | 346.51 | $0.287 | $79.7 | -$19.75 |
 Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election? | Yes | 298 | $0.296 | $78.97 | -$9.38 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 10? | No | 119.85 | $0.510 | $61.13 | $0 |
 Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 183.95 | $0.332 | $52.42 | -$8.73 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | Yes | 299.43 | $0.234 | $52.4 | -$17.66 |
| Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | Yes | 124.58 | $0.300 | $44.23 | +$6.85 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? | Yes | 130 | $0.341 | $41.6 | -$2.77 |
 Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-3.5) | ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 80 | $0.470 | $39.6 | +$2 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 38.09 | $0.984 | $37.99 | +$0.51 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 299.83 | $0.141 | $37.48 | -$4.81 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.550 |
| $11 |
| 14h ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | 14h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 8?No | sell | 25 | $0.510 | $12.75 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 8?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 8?No | sell | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 1d ago |
 Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?No | sell | 29 | $0.550 | $15.95 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 6?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | 3d ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.349 | $8.73 | 3d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 6?No | sell | 156 | $0.560 | $87.36 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 88 | $0.290 | $25.52 | 4d ago |
 Will Jeff Beattie win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?No | sell | 98 | $0.440 | $43.12 | 5d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 117 | $0.850 | $99.45 | 7d ago |
 Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?No | sell | 22 | $0.500 | $11 | 9d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.200 | $9.8 | 9d ago |
 Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-27?No | sell | 121 | $0.180 | $21.78 | 12d ago |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.500 | $6.5 | 13d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.052 | $2.13 | 14d ago |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.563 | $8.44 | 14d ago |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?No | sell | 199 | $0.569 | $113.23 | 14d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 57 | $0.190 | $10.83 | 15d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 24?No | sell | 41 | $0.410 | $16.81 | 16d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.400 | $12 | 16d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 76 | $0.238 | $18.09 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.520 | $46.8 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 192 | $0.520 | $99.84 | 18d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.239 | $1.91 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 22?No | sell | 8 | $0.490 | $3.92 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | sell | 134 | $0.510 | $68.34 | 19d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 21?No | buy | 24 | $0.550 | $13.2 | 19d ago |
 Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5)HAVU | buy | 153 | $0.480 | $73.44 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 131 | $0.830 | $108.73 | 19d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 72 | $0.220 | $15.84 | 19d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 128 | $0.220 | $28.16 | 19d ago |
 Will Taylor Fritz Win the Cincinnati Open?No | sell | 42 | $0.700 | $29.4 | 20d ago |
| Will Taylor Fritz Win the Cincinnati Open?No | buy | 39 | $0.701 | $27.34 | 20d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 20?No | sell | 15 | $0.570 | $8.55 | 20d ago |
| Will Taylor Fritz Win the Cincinnati Open?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.363 | $2.9 | 20d ago |
 Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-19?No | sell | 150 | $0.490 | $73.5 | 20d ago |
 LoL: Joblife vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsSkillcamp Esport | buy | 93.2 | $0.370 | $34.48 | 21d ago |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 19?Up | sell | 57 | $0.824 | $46.97 | 21d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 19?Up | sell | 200 | $0.830 | $166 | 21d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 19?Up | buy | 235 | $0.850 | $199.75 | 21d ago |
| Will Taylor Fritz Win the Cincinnati Open?No | sell | 5 | $0.739 | $3.7 | 21d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 18?No | sell | 6 | $0.440 | $2.64 | 22d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.570 | $9.69 | 22d ago |
 Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?No | buy | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | 23d ago |
 Will Pisa SC win on 2026-08-17?No | sell | 18 | $0.380 | $6.84 | 23d ago |
| Will Pisa SC win on 2026-08-17?No | sell | 163 | $0.390 | $63.57 | 23d ago |
 Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 44 | $0.076 | $3.34 | 23d ago |