Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1.11K | $0.944 | $1.07K | +$20.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 840.34 | $0.952 | $800 | Jul 15, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 387.03 |
| $0.822 |
| $334.78 |
| +$16.47 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | No | 151.69 | $0.890 | $144.86 | +$9.86 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 95.24 | $0.840 | $88.1 | +$8.1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 213.16 | $0.380 | $62.88 | -$18.12 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 47.62 | $0.840 | $47.02 | +$7.02 |
 Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | No | 44.01 | $0.945 | $42.41 | +$0.81 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.420 | $36.79 | +$6.79 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 108.7 | $0.092 | $19.24 | +$9.24 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 20 | $0.950 | $18.44 | -$0.56 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 59.52 | $0.084 | $9.61 | +$4.61 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.140 | $3.39 | -$1.61 |
| buy |
| 273.81 |
| $0.840 |
| $230 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.650 | $972.22 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 216.47 | $0.660 | $142.87 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?No | buy | 22.74 | $0.950 | $21.6 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.950 | $21.58 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 105.58 | $0.800 | $84.46 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 138.88 | $0.620 | $86.11 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 213.16 | $0.380 | $81 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 373.89 | $0.829 | $310 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 670.15 | $0.821 | $550 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 344.77 | $0.910 | $313.77 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 153.84 | $0.910 | $139.99 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 44.94 | $0.998 | $44.85 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?No | sell | 49.38 | $0.897 | $44.3 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Yes | sell | 99.48 | $0.103 | $10.27 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 39.02 | $0.450 | $17.56 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 49.42 | $0.990 | $48.93 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 269.87 | $0.931 | $251.25 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 118.76 | $0.839 | $99.61 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.931 | $46.55 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 54.05 | $0.802 | $43.35 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 36.36 | $0.110 | $4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.820 | $205 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 235.44 | $0.908 | $213.73 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mamdani team sweeps primaries?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?No | buy | 49.38 | $0.810 | $40 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.420 | $30 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.084 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.092 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 67.87 | $0.120 | $8.12 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?No | sell | 54.35 | $0.992 | $53.92 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | sell | 65.78 | $0.913 | $60.06 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 49.43 | $0.870 | $43 | May 14, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 39.02 | $0.410 | $16 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 34.51 | $0.580 | $20 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 139.15 | $0.826 | $115 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | sell | 81.52 | $0.985 | $80.3 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?No | sell | 163.04 | $0.982 | $160.11 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.017 | $2.09 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | sell | 108.69 | $0.987 | $107.28 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 45.87 | $0.910 | $41.74 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 383.66 | $0.430 | $165 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | Apr 17, 2026 |