Analytics
Allow Google Analytics cookies to measure visits, navigation, completed signups and checkout starts on our website and app? Analytics identifiers last up to 180 days. Account details, searches, wallet addresses and payment details are excluded. Your choice is optional and you can change it anytime.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 3.12K | $0.880 | $3K | +$254.34 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.920 | $285.2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 300 |
| $0.870 |
| $287.85 |
| +$26.85 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 310 | $0.920 | $128.65 | -$156.55 |
| buy |
| 63.33 |
| $0.600 |
| $38 |
| Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 62.99 | $0.770 | $48.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.780 | $179.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.709 | $92.22 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.718 | $7.18 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 408.64 | $0.980 | $400.47 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 233 | $0.800 | $186.4 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 98.33 | $0.600 | $59 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 629.99 | $0.930 | $585.89 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.27K | $0.955 | $3.12K | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.870 | $261 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 156.8 | $0.700 | $109.76 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.3K | $0.996 | $4.29K | Jan 3, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 5.73K | $0.998 | $5.71K | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 369.8 | $0.940 | $347.61 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.795 | $812.24 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 359.8 | $0.910 | $327.42 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 569.7 | $0.870 | $495.64 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 358.9 | $0.810 | $290.71 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | sell | 455.98 | $0.032 | $14.59 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 105 | $0.970 | $101.85 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 906.18 | $0.964 | $873.56 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 106.04 | $0.943 | $100 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | buy | 138.55 | $0.294 | $40.8 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 252.8 | $0.781 | $197.39 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 116 | $0.807 | $93.61 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes | buy | 46.02 | $0.670 | $30.83 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 431.42 | $0.980 | $422.79 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 321 | $0.320 | $102.72 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.36K | $0.981 | $12.12K | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.63K | $0.983 | $1.6K | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.961 | $1.5K | Oct 21, 2025 |