Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 37.13K | $0.964 | $36.73K | +$931.72 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 2.25K | $0.973 | $2.19K | 12h ago |
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| No |
| 19.98K |
| $0.907 |
| $19.65K |
| +$1.52K |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 17.69K | $0.944 | $17.38K | +$676.88 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 15.34K | $0.966 | $15.2K | +$373.63 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 13.64K | $0.931 | $12.75K | +$54.51 |
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 8.46K | $0.907 | $7.65K | -$19.73 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.58K | $0.936 | $7.39K | -$4.39K |
Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 7.42K | $0.945 | $7.25K | +$236.57 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 6.42K | $0.891 | $6.37K | +$644.14 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 6.36K | $0.954 | $6.18K | +$111.2 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 7.11K | $0.846 | $6.15K | +$136.83 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 4.73K | $0.948 | $4.62K | +$135.02 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 3.74K | $0.880 | $3.27K | -$18.69 |
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.98K | $0.969 | $2.96K | +$67.48 |
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.87K | $0.971 | $2.84K | +$45.96 |
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? | No | 2.92K | $0.835 | $2.73K | +$293.1 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.74K | $0.880 | $2.4K | -$13.69 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 2.38K | $0.900 | $2.18K | +$35.77 |
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? | No | 2.2K | $0.824 | $2.12K | +$301.28 |
Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2.16K | $0.786 | $1.86K | +$170.41 |
Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.37K | $0.950 | $1.29K | -$6.85 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 1.37K | $0.910 | $1.28K | +$34.23 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.37K | $0.850 | $1.17K | +$6.84 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.37K | $0.830 | $1.17K | +$34.22 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.35K | $0.864 | $1.12K | -$1.77K |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.880 |
| $17.6 |
| 12h ago |
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.830 | $16.68 | 12h ago |
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?No | buy | 60.53 | $0.845 | $51.18 | 12h ago |
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?No | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | 12h ago |
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.987 | $592.4 | 17h ago |
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 290 | $0.989 | $286.81 | 17h ago |
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.988 | $9.88 | 17h ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 931.58 | $0.860 | $801.16 | 17h ago |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.940 | $1.29K | 17h ago |
Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 1.95K | $0.976 | $1.9K | 17h ago |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?No | buy | 248.75 | $0.899 | $223.62 | 17h ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.860 | $1.18K | 17h ago |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.950 | $1.3K | 1d ago |
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?No | buy | 131.13 | $0.890 | $116.71 | 1d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 342.52 | $0.830 | $284.29 | 2d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 1.57K | $0.997 | $1.56K | 2d ago |
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?No | buy | 305.75 | $0.970 | $296.46 | 2d ago |
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.947 | $9.47 | 2d ago |
Will Donald Trump visit Portugal in 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.920 | $55.2 | 2d ago |
Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026?No | buy | 39.02 | $0.892 | $34.79 | 2d ago |
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?Yes | buy | 51.66 | $0.976 | $50.43 | 2d ago |
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in September?Yes | buy | 652.81 | $0.967 | $631.08 | 2d ago |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 5.53K | $0.930 | $5.14K | 4d ago |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 5.37K | $0.930 | $4.99K | 4d ago |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.930 | $1.27K | 4d ago |
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.910 | $6.37 | 4d ago |
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.969 | $31.26 | 4d ago |
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?Yes | buy | 36.83 | $0.957 | $35.25 | 6d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.37K | $0.900 | $2.13K | 6d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 3.37K | $0.960 | $3.23K | 6d ago |
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in September?No | buy | 135 | $0.970 | $130.95 | 6d ago |
Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in September?No | buy | 108 | $0.991 | $107.02 | 6d ago |
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.969 | $87.17 | 6d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.860 | $1.18K | 6d ago |
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?No | buy | 674.32 | $0.959 | $646.85 | 6d ago |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.984 | $1.35K | 6d ago |
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 569 | $0.975 | $554.61 | 6d ago |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 765.86 | $0.961 | $735.72 | 6d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | 7d ago |
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?Yes | buy | 141.16 | $0.976 | $137.8 | 7d ago |
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in September?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.969 | $154.97 | 7d ago |
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in September?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.960 | $33.6 | 8d ago |
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.964 | $173.58 | 8d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 796.9 | $0.860 | $685.33 | 8d ago |
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 91.7 | $0.970 | $88.92 | 8d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.850 | $425 | 8d ago |
Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 190 | $0.893 | $169.7 | 8d ago |
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.910 | $1.25K | 8d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | sell | 3K | $0.991 | $2.97K | 9d ago |