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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1.33K | $0.921 | $1.28K | +$53.25 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.978 | $28.36 | 13d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.08K |
| $0.930 |
| $1.01K |
| +$5.41 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 600 | $0.770 | $455.7 | -$6.3 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 316 | $0.966 | $312.52 | +$7.27 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | No | 216.41 | $0.958 | $214.14 | +$6.82 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | No | 184.68 | $0.940 | $172.68 | -$0.92 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 600 | $0.231 | $144.3 | +$5.7 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 121 | $0.950 | $117.98 | +$3.03 |
 Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | No | 111 | $0.880 | $109.5 | +$11.82 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 58 | $0.969 | $56.23 | +$0.03 |
 Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? | No | 42 | $0.997 | $41.9 | +$0.02 |
| sell |
| 1.5K |
| $0.025 |
| $37.5 |
| 13d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.353 | $529.5 | 13d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.610 | $915 | 13d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 600 | $0.770 | $462 | 27d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.231 | $138.6 | 27d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 290.4 | $0.673 | $195.57 | 27d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.930 | $1.01K | 27d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.074 | $111 | 27d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.280 | $420 | 27d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.640 | $960 | 27d ago |
| Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 110 | $0.995 | $109.45 | 27d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 380.86 | $0.180 | $68.55 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 392.39 | $0.080 | $31.39 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 392.39 | $0.080 | $31.39 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Yes | sell | 828.17 | $0.157 | $129.98 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 996.85 | $0.090 | $89.72 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.180 | $63 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 369.98 | $0.160 | $59.2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Yes | sell | 327.16 | $0.269 | $88.06 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.652 | $65.25 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.330 | $99 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.340 | $51 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.170 | $34 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.170 | $17 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 40 | $0.170 | $6.8 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 349.99 | $0.090 | $31.5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.340 | $204 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 447.77 | $0.110 | $49.25 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.150 | $7.5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 40 | $0.170 | $6.8 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | sell | 599.13 | $0.001 | $0.6 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 643.77 | $0.808 | $520 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 351.49 | $0.119 | $41.83 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 972.41 | $0.121 | $117.66 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 8.2K | $0.143 | $1.17K | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.2K | $0.083 | $680.77 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.123 | $184.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?No | buy | 184.68 | $0.940 | $173.6 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 58 | $0.969 | $56.2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?No | buy | 42 | $0.997 | $41.87 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.02K | $0.007 | $14.11 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 50.67 | $0.818 | $41.45 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | sell | 7.96K | $0.004 | $31.84 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 8.56K | $0.005 | $42.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 121 | $0.950 | $114.95 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?No | buy | 216.41 | $0.958 | $207.32 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 6.75K | $0.007 | $47.23 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.76K | $0.008 | $70.1 | Jun 10, 2026 |