Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?

Across the 344 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 7.4% on 14 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 21 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.3%; a month before, 0.3%. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 0.9% on 17 Dec 2025.

Steve Ballmer ranks eighth of the 11 outcomes in “Richest person on December 31, 2026?”. Elon Musk leads at 96.8%; Bernard Arnault is at 0.9%.

$314.93K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $24.22K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $72.33 bought Yes and $59.2K bought No; the largest was a $1.01K buy of No at 99.2¢.

The largest Yes position is ACara with 2.7K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 14K. Ten wallets hold 83.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trading closes on 3 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.