Analytics
Yes is at 0.4%, about where the market opened on 13 Sep 2026.
A week ago Yes was at 0.1%; a month ago, 0.1%.
Michael Dell ranks fourth of the 11 outcomes in “Richest person on December 31, 2026?”. Elon Musk leads at 97%; Warren Buffett is at 1.2%.
$983.82 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.09K, with a 0.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is LynxTitan with 3.9K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 13.8K. Ten wallets hold 89.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 76 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 16, 8:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 13 Sep 2026 – 16 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.84K |
| LynxTitan | Yes | 3.93K |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 2.14K |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/richest-person-on-december-31-2026
| donthackme |
| Yes |
| 1.71K |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 1.08K |
| CriptanTDA | Yes | 560 |
| aHjCz | Yes | 453.03 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 373.26 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 344.92 |
| balthazar | Yes | 299.92 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
