Analytics
Yes is at 0.2%, down 4.3 points from 4.5% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2025.
Across the 316 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (34 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 4.5% on 13 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.3%; a month before, 0.3%.
Sergey Brin ranks tenth of the 11 outcomes in “Richest person on December 31, 2026?”. Elon Musk leads at 96.8%; Bernard Arnault is at 0.9%.
$89.81K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $16.04K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $207.13 bought Yes and $19.17K bought No.
The largest Yes position is neutralwave23 with 5.9K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 14K. Ten wallets hold 89.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 316 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 4.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.02K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 5.9K |
| planktonXD | Yes | 1.98K |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/richest-person-on-december-31-2026
| 25oodksmsss09 | Yes | 1.01K |
| R20t | Yes | 870.02 |
| plmr | Yes | 581.94 |
| CriptanTDA | Yes | 309.97 |
| 2kparabellum | Yes | 307.35 |
| Colossal-Polliwog | Yes | 294.22 |
| GingerMcKenna | Yes | 251.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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