Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 13.21K | $0.889 | $12.7K | +$956.44 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.7K | $0.860 | $1.46K | Feb 21, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 3.08K |
| $0.826 |
| $2.88K |
| +$334.8 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.850 | $1.93K | +$225 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 1.7K | $0.860 | $1.67K | +$208.18 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.05K | $0.840 | $992.35 | +$110.26 |
| buy |
| 4K |
| $0.830 |
| $3.32K |
| Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 735.7 | $0.800 | $588.56 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.720 | $724.32 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 860.29 | $0.850 | $731.25 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.790 | $3.95K | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 207.4 | $0.880 | $182.51 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.97K | $0.830 | $1.64K | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.820 | $912.06 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 2K | $0.860 | $1.72K | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.840 | $882.09 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 2K | $0.850 | $1.7K | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 3K | $0.870 | $2.61K | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before July?No | buy | 3.57K | $0.595 | $2.12K | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Macron out in 2025?No | buy | 1.17K | $0.860 | $1K | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 704.92 | $0.730 | $514.59 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.730 | $2.19K | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.830 | $1.14K | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 2.51K | $0.860 | $2.16K | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.98K | $0.720 | $1.42K | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Erdoğan out in 2025?No | buy | 745.58 | $0.880 | $656.11 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 561.89 | $0.870 | $488.84 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.840 | $915.19 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.230 | $337.57 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Macron out in 2025?No | buy | 6K | $0.860 | $5.16K | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 15.15K | $0.850 | $12.88K | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 5.22K | $0.840 | $4.39K | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.999 | $2K | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.670 | $1.34K | Mar 23, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.730 | $1.46K | Mar 23, 2025 |
 Starmer out in 2025?No | buy | 7K | $0.790 | $5.53K | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Macron out in 2025?No | buy | 2.9K | $0.800 | $2.32K | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No | buy | 1.69K | $0.840 | $1.42K | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Gold missing from Fort Knox?No | buy | 8K | $0.840 | $6.72K | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 227 | $0.890 | $202.03 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | buy | 1.65K | $0.920 | $1.52K | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 141.13 | $0.544 | $76.72 | Dec 14, 2024 |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 273.11 | $0.910 | $248.53 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Trump?No | buy | 107.15 | $0.927 | $99.33 | Dec 14, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Biden drops out in July?No | buy | 1K | $0.250 | $250 | Jul 18, 2024 |
 Valérie Rabault next Prime Minister of France?No | buy | 298.44 | $0.960 | $286.5 | Jul 9, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?No | buy | 3.3K | $0.730 | $2.41K | Jul 9, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.04K | $0.440 | $1.78K | Jul 9, 2024 |
 US bank failure before September?No | buy | 1.71K | $0.830 | $1.42K | Jul 9, 2024 |
 Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?No | buy | 2.77K | $0.920 | $2.55K | Jul 8, 2024 |
 Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September?Yes | buy | 1.89K | $0.910 | $1.72K | Jul 8, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 19.08K | $0.913 | $17.42K | Jul 5, 2024 |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 5K | $0.920 | $4.6K | Jul 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump announce his VP pick in July?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.970 | $1.59K | Jul 5, 2024 |