Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 600 | $0.920 | $577.5 | +$25.5 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.120 | $20.4 | Aug 13, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 150 |
| $0.777 |
| $122.25 |
| +$5.63 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 130 | $0.758 | $116.35 | +$17.75 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 128.21 | $0.780 | $105.77 | +$5.77 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 147.06 | $0.680 | $104.41 | +$4.41 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.920 | $92.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 790 | $0.193 | $60.44 | -$92.24 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 47.8 | $0.840 | $43.74 | +$3.59 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 208.33 | $0.720 | $42.71 | -$107.29 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 216.45 | $0.231 | $38.64 | -$11.36 |
 Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | No | 28.5 | $0.900 | $27.43 | +$1.78 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 170 | $0.120 | $22.95 | +$2.55 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.780 |
| $39 |
| Aug 13, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.776 | $77.62 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.9 | $0.927 | $100 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 216.45 | $0.231 | $50 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.720 | $150 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.680 | $100 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | sell | 58.42 | $0.950 | $55.5 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | sell | 833.67 | $0.572 | $477.27 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | sell | 426.31 | $0.771 | $328.56 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | sell | 227.24 | $0.517 | $117.42 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | buy | 58.43 | $0.890 | $52 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 426.32 | $0.704 | $300 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | buy | 833.67 | $0.600 | $500 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 227.24 | $0.440 | $100 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.937 | $468.5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 297 | $0.920 | $273.24 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | sell | 224 | $0.986 | $220.84 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 47.8 | $0.840 | $40.15 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.870 | $33.93 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?No | sell | 38.75 | $0.880 | $34.1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 97 | $0.870 | $84.39 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Jimmy Lai released by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.031 | $3.1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.760 | $83.6 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?No | buy | 38.75 | $0.660 | $25.58 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.5 | $0.900 | $25.65 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 450 | $0.070 | $31.5 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 184 | $0.930 | $171.12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.3 | $0.470 | $0.61 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.840 | $100.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 141.7 | $0.481 | $68.12 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.172 | $32.68 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 174 | $0.190 | $33.06 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 40 | $0.940 | $37.6 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.870 | $104.4 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.200 | $120 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 600 | $0.920 | $552 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.570 | $51.3 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.560 | $29.68 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.880 | $440 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 117 | $0.051 | $5.97 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 387.47 | $0.940 | $364.22 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.120 | $168 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.120 | $96 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | sell | 250 | $0.930 | $232.5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 651 | $0.880 | $572.88 | Jan 24, 2026 |