Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 14.2K | $0.963 | $13.65K | -$20.91 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.378 | $113.4 | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 12.28K |
| $0.953 |
| $11.8K |
| +$98.91 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 3K | $0.993 | $2.99K | +$9 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3K | $0.993 | $2.98K | -$1.5 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 3K | $0.971 | $2.97K | +$54.67 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 3K | $0.979 | $2.95K | +$8.54 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 2.99K | $0.982 | $2.95K | +$11.55 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | No | 3K | $0.915 | $2.94K | +$195.57 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 3K | $0.900 | $2.93K | +$231 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 2.96K | $0.959 | $2.92K | +$82.53 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | No | 3K | $0.952 | $2.91K | +$57.07 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 3K | $0.957 | $2.91K | +$44.86 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 3K | $0.963 | $2.91K | +$16.81 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 2.93K | $0.936 | $2.89K | +$144.57 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 2.92K | $0.929 | $2.87K | +$162.05 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 2.94K | $0.812 | $2.82K | +$431.74 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 2.92K | $0.961 | $2.81K | +$9.91 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.897 | $2.81K | +$112.51 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 3K | $0.848 | $2.71K | +$170.86 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 3K | $0.818 | $2.69K | +$232.35 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 3.01K | $0.907 | $2.66K | -$65.87 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.68K | $0.939 | $2.6K | +$87.3 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.840 | $2.57K | +$45 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.980 | $2.47K | +$23.63 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.45K | $0.920 | $2.38K | +$118.34 |
| sell |
| 599.61 |
| $0.992 |
| $594.81 |
| 3h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 800 | $0.460 | $368 | 3h ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.960 | $576 | 13h ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 187.39 | $0.961 | $180.08 | 13h ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 30, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.963 | $47.21 | 13h ago |
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.983 | $98.3 | 14h ago |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 246.99 | $0.987 | $243.78 | 14h ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 254.3 | $0.974 | $247.69 | 14h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?No | buy | 200 | $0.927 | $185.5 | 14h ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 799.99 | $0.917 | $733.94 | 14h ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?No | buy | 300 | $0.920 | $276 | 14h ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?No | buy | 300 | $0.918 | $275.4 | 14h ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.920 | $368 | 14h ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | 14h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?No | buy | 137 | $0.984 | $134.78 | 1d ago |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.960 | $1.44K | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | 1d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?No | buy | 300 | $0.986 | $295.8 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?Yes | buy | 23.1 | $0.968 | $22.36 | 1d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.499 | $149.7 | 1d ago |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | 1d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.920 | $276 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.965 | $289.49 | 1d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.817 | $245.05 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.490 | $98 | 1d ago |
 Will JD Vance attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | 1d ago |
 Will Ursula von der Leyen attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 300 | $0.940 | $282 | 2d ago |
 Will Mark Rutte attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 68.47 | $0.974 | $66.72 | 2d ago |
| Will JD Vance attend King Harald V's funeral?No | buy | 15.95 | $0.976 | $15.57 | 2d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | 2d ago |
| Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.978 | $293.4 | 2d ago |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 809.42 | $0.790 | $639.44 | 2d ago |
 Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | 2d ago |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.950 | $760 | 2d ago |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 918.42 | $0.966 | $887.19 | 2d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 693.74 | $0.999 | $693.05 | 2d ago |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | sell | 27.31 | $0.961 | $26.24 | 2d ago |
| Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?Yes | buy | 268.03 | $0.973 | $260.74 | 2d ago |
 Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?No | buy | 147.82 | $0.980 | $144.84 | 2d ago |
 Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.994 | $99.4 | 2d ago |
 Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 530.86 | $0.999 | $530.33 | 2d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?No | buy | 500 | $0.950 | $475 | 2d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.969 | $968.69 | 2d ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes | buy | 200.44 | $0.957 | $191.82 | 3d ago |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.06 | $0.968 | $107.5 | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?No | buy | 100 | $0.972 | $97.2 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?No | buy | 100 | $0.957 | $95.7 | 4d ago |
 Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?No | buy | 35.62 | $0.991 | $35.31 | 4d ago |