Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 849.75 | $0.933 | $817.03 | +$24.22 |
 Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 600 | $0.480 | $288 | 12h ago |
|
| No |
| 700 |
| $0.993 |
| $694.75 |
| -$0.35 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 600 | $0.480 | $285 | -$3 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 227 | $0.980 | $225.64 | +$3.18 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? | No | 88 | $0.968 | $85.67 | +$0.48 |
 Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 358.66 | $0.216 | $78.91 | +$1.5 |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 238.25 | $0.310 | $73.86 | +$0 |
 Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 123 | $0.840 | $71.96 | -$31.36 |
 Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 23 | $0.960 | $22.56 | +$0.48 |
| buy |
| 700 |
| $0.993 |
| $695.1 |
| 12h ago |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 238.25 | $0.310 | $73.86 | 12h ago |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 283.25 | $0.952 | $269.65 | 8d ago |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.988 | $1.48K | 8d ago |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 208.66 | $0.220 | $45.91 | 8d ago |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.210 | $31.5 | 8d ago |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.989 | $1.48K | 18d ago |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?No | sell | 263.19 | $0.176 | $46.34 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?No | sell | 213.5 | $0.188 | $40.18 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.810 | $162 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?No | buy | 476.69 | $0.196 | $93.43 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.960 | $22.08 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | buy | 88 | $0.968 | $85.18 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.933 | $1.06K | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 123 | $0.840 | $103.32 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 186 | $0.006 | $1.12 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.960 | $192 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 9.11K | $0.006 | $54.68 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 227 | $0.980 | $222.46 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.930 | $465 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | sell | 7.1K | $0.060 | $425.8 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | sell | 10.81K | $0.070 | $756.57 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | sell | 8.18K | $0.070 | $572.68 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes | sell | 2.6K | $0.210 | $546 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 120 | $0.950 | $114 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 357 | $0.090 | $32.13 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | sell | 150.9 | $0.090 | $13.58 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 51.62 | $0.180 | $9.29 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No | sell | 75.19 | $0.985 | $74.06 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 154.79 | $0.160 | $24.77 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 293.14 | $0.170 | $49.77 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 165.44 | $0.140 | $23.16 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 667.66 | $0.140 | $93.47 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.960 | $115.2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.3K | $0.004 | $37.2 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No | buy | 75.11 | $0.971 | $72.93 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | buy | 500 | $0.998 | $499 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No | buy | 130.06 | $0.997 | $129.67 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 7.7K | $0.001 | $7.7 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 9.01K | $0.007 | $63.08 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.7K | $0.004 | $30.79 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 9.01K | $0.009 | $81.1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.974 | $779.2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 858 | $0.994 | $852.85 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?No | buy | 59.99 | $0.980 | $58.79 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 858 | $0.985 | $845.13 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 117.02 | $0.940 | $110 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 303 | $0.920 | $278.76 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.760 | $380 | Dec 17, 2025 |